Saturday, March 07, 2026

You Could Not Come To My House

This post is not about how my house is too good for you. It is about navigating the space between manners and flattery.

It is about how the home I grew up with could not be visited by guests, which admittedly is exaggerated, you could visit it by 'popping in' unannounced, or I may have been able to smuggle you in if you could pass as a child my own age.

Furthermore, psychologically protective instincts evolved over hundreds of millenia may already be kicking in that I might reveal some dark "people under the stairs" shit involving gimp suits, buckets of fish heads, bars on windows. No I'm talking about clutter.

Because, I feel justified in generalizing, we live in a world where it is no secret what constitutes criminal behaviour, and any person enrolled in a school or subjected to a workplace health and safety training video in an induction program is almost certainly going to connect the dots that if it's not okay to harass a co-worker in the photocopy room, it wasn't okay for your Uncle harass you in your tree house.

No, this post is about some Seinfeld/Curb level shit. When I was 17 I went on a summer exchange to Japan, a culture known for it's neatness and manners. My fellow travellers and I were billeted out to host families to stay with over our 3 months. I clicked with my first host family, a couple of teachers that lived in a house with their two sons.

I have kept in touch and been back to Japan maybe half a dozen times. Always staying, likely overstaying, with my first host family. I remember fondly, but with some melancholy when my Japanese mother introduced me to another way of being, when she invited me to come look at her eldest son's bedroom, a spectacular mess, impressively so and he was by no means a Hikikimori. He was in fact much like me, a teenage boy. Now Japan is an oppressive patriarchal society, so I am not asserting any black-and-white here, simply that I benefited greatly from feeling my Japanese mother's affection for her messy son radiating off of her in a profound way. To me, this was another way of being I was not aware existed, a form of radical acceptance that I was not a recipient of.

Manners it is my impression, are poorly understood. Their crucial function in society regard how we treat strangers, because of stranger danger. I saw somewhere that in Germany good manners involve having your hands on, not below, a table, a tradition that allegedly goes back to people using the cover of a table to pull out a dagger and kill someone to get out of a long, boring meeting. Road rules can also be considered a form of manners that has in many cases been codified in law - like 'right of way' but there's law, and then there's law enforcement. Furthermore, not being a traffic law expert, I can't recall anything in my licensing exam that addressed who had the rights to a car park space - the car reversing in or the car going in frontways. Generally though, I'm going to assert that manners say poaching a parking space by going in forwards on the pretext that the reverser is 'taking too long' is wrong. 

It's wrong because it's a dick move. Dick moves are bad because they can escalate into violence. Someone bad mannered in respect to road manners can cause a fatal incident. We don't realise that in a society where citizens of the wealthy nations can go pretty much anywhere and be greeted by a "Good morning, how can I help you?" that we came from societies where a stranger was routinely greeted with "Who are you? I don't fucking know you. What are you doing in our village? Did you put the evil eye on Bessy and cause her womb to fall out? I'm going to fucking kill you!"

Flattery is also intuitively, but often intellectually not understood. Flattery is manipulation, Socrates debates whether what he calls "rhetoric" is an art or a 'knack' in the Gorgias dialogue and then gives us a pretty good description of what I feel the lay process of a flatterer these days: "guesses at what's pleasant with no consideration for what's best." and the post that follows is going to be difficult because of this guessing game. Specifically, there's a piece of my brain missing I am acutely going to struggle with that doesn't understand what and who is being flattered when a distant cousin comes to visit a house and a child is commanded to clean up their room to look like an Ikea display suite in case a guest gets lost looking for a bathroom and stumbles into it.

'Kings and philosophers shit, and so do ladies. Even on the highest throne in the world, we are seated still upon our arses.' ~ Michel de Montaigne 

When I visit friends of my own age in the places they live, and friends I have made myself as an adult in the places they live, the experience can be like visiting a foreign country for me. Not universally but frequent enough to be normal; I encounter clutter, mess, dishes piled in a sink, I'll be given house tours past unmade beds, and permitted in bathrooms with cluttered countertops, mirrors spattered in toothpaste, hair clogged drains and verdant toilets.

Now I may be an oddball, but generally I approve of this social norm. I must admit, I am not behind the environmental consideration of "if it's yellow let it mellow" and as a bad guest, I will flush both before and after I use such toilets, even if I am just doing no.1 from a standing position. There is no myth-busters episode where Adam eats nothing but a whole can of beets a day for a week before pissing into a toilet that Jamie has pissed into in white overalls so they can see weather the splashback is rebounding Adam piss or displaced Jamie piss, but if it is wrong for another person to piss on me, and wrong for a person to leave a bucket of piss propped above an ajar doorway so when I go through it I get their piss on me then it is wrong to leave diluted piss in a toilet so it can splash up and/or out and get on me. So I plead ignorance, and flush that stagnant piss away.

Furthermore, there is an element of informed solidarity I feel with the greater socio-economic context. The post-war period of actual social mobility is well and truly over. The numbers all say social mobility goes downward now, as a natural consequence of growing inequality. When I grew up, most adults I knew lived in a more comfortable, more spacious and more beautiful property than their parents (i.e. grandparents) I hardly know anyone of my generation in that situation, admittedly though, I am a deadbeat artist. 

When I am permitted to move through my friends spaces, the message I am receiving is not "I don't respect you" but is in fact "yeah, so this is how we live in our home and I respect you enough to be honest about it."

And it isn't just the houses, as scarcity usually intensifies value, it is the time-poverty, the cost of living, the remoteness from grandparents who for previous generations provided less financial support and more services like babysitting. Grandparents were also generally younger, as were parents. Furthermore a significant number of school leavers were leaving education around 16 and more curricula were dedicated to vocational skills that can be used to maintain a property, and spendthrifts used to repair their own whitegoods rather than take them to the viable businesses that used to repair whitegoods, whereas now cheapskates simply don't leave their refrigerators out for hard rubbish when interior design influencers declare "matte gunmetal finish fridges so 2000s." 

So yeah, whether conscious or unconscious, the ability to tidy a home and scrub the toilet before (or during) a visit by a guest is a necessary sacrifice of expectations for our modern times. We have a loneliness epidemic which isn't helped if people feel obliged to handmake a gluten-free vegan croquembouche with enough time left over to clean and renovate their kitchen before they will have me over to discuss how stupid everyone is.

But also, and crucially for me, I'm with Montaigne. Who are we kidding, people shit. People live. People have better things to do than constantly maintain the place where they live, (where they have agency, where they relax and self-medicate) up to open-house standards.

This is not to say I have no standards, but a line must be drawn, and that shall be the meat of this post. I have been to some friends places that crossed my disgust threshold. Where at times I felt like gagging and needed to tamp it down and gut it out, because when things get bad enough for me to be sensitive, I'm not going to say anything because I'm not qualified nor equipped to deal with mental health issues. 

Where they've handed me a cup to drink from and my impulse has been to refuse it, I don't, I just purse my lips real tight.

And I am one of the dirtiest hobos I know. 

What I am going to argue, is that there is a fuzzy edged goldilocks zone that constitutes good manners. The lower limit sits above safety including hygiene, and also matters of guest consent and agency. The upper limit sits beneath actively engaging in deception, fraud, grift.

And sorry, due to the misstep of letting me be in a highschool debate team, I have a lifelong habit of anticipating and heading off objections. I am very familiar with the "preference" defence, the "I like living in a home that looks like an Ikea Catalogue" people also prefer to fly business class, I dare say, more people have this preference than hold the financial means to realize this preference, and it is wrong for someone to demand someone else, like their partners or children make financial sacrifices to fulfil a preference. 

Two people with a shared mental health issue that anything that can't be photographed for a coffee table book is "messy" and "doesn't feel good" to live in, can partner up and mutually consent to make whatever sacrifices are necessary to avoid tackling their deeper anxieties until they have children. But maybe not, because this isn't one of those big klaxon sounding ways in which parents fuck up their children. It is a very ordinary way in which parents fuck up their children.

In what the US is known as "The South" child beauty pageants are "a thing" often defended as a practice as "a southern thang" a mere impeachable preference. The entirety of not just the US but the Anglosphere gets the heebie-jeebies over this preference, and confidently voices their opinion that it is "fucked up" as in "this is obviously going to fuck kids up" but in the same way, you might co-opt your kids into a cleaning spree on a Saturday morning that takes 6 hours when the Prime Minister has launched a social media ban by telling the kids to get outside and enjoy their summer, and your friend will flatter you by remarking on what a "beautiful house you have."

Child beauty pageants are condemned from the outside because there's an intuition that makeup and false eyelashes are not age-appropriate pursuits or diversions for a pre-pubescent human child. But what of the pursuit of home beautiful? Are throw pillows and polishing display-only trashcans and degreasing overhead fan filters the age appropriate pursuits of a child?

By fuzzy edges, take for example being naked. I feel there's a lot to be said for Scandinavian cultures where nudism is far more normal creates healthier attitudes to the human body, and not narrowing an association with nudity to sex. But I'm pretty sure in nudist scenes, you generally carry a towel to sit on, and people retire to a restroom to piss and shit, and while obviously you can have your cock out, you aren't supposed to get erect.

And in a share house situation, or even where there's a guest over. It's okay if you are having noisy sex, but generally so long as there is at least one wall between you and your guest, and also at some point it may become rude if you keep your guest up beyond a reasonable hour, at which point they may bash on the wall and yell "enough already" and that's not rude of the guest. But having sex in front of your guest is not cool, unless all parties have consented to it.

When it comes to how clean your house should be, I mean humans shit. We're also omnivores so our shit is not consistent. If you are expecting a guest, I feel its reasonable for a guest to expect you to have cleaned your toilet recently, but between that recent and the guests arrival, if people need to shit, I don't expect them to clean the toilet every time they shit. Specks of shit are fine, streaks of shit, or spray coverage like 30% need the toilet brush, because its implausible you didn't notice that so its a reasonable inference that you saw what you did and thought "that's fine" which it isn't and not particularly for a guest, but for anyone but you, it's not fine for the same reason it has never been a human custom to great others by bending open and gaping our arsehole with out fingers so others can inspect the inside of our rectum. 

Curiously this means that leaving a loaded toilet, does not incur as much judgement as a flushed toilet with big nasty streaks left behind, because I'm going to assume you got distracted by your phone and forgot to flush, possibly to wipe. I will likely flush, and not mention it to anyone. These lapses happen, plus we've all, but those with specific mental health issues, used a public toilet or needed to use a public toilet, we'll certainly be able to handle a private one. 

There is also the fuzziness of things everyone knows and everyone knows not to speak about - like every hand you have ever shaken has had a dick in it. The complicated aspects of manners where knowledge is shared under conditions of plausible deniability. But not mentioning the floater is not an argument for the non-existence of the upper fuzzy edge, where everyone knows that people don't live in an interior staged for a photo shoot, because staging your interiors for a photo shoot is an act of commission not omission. It's a lie, you are lying to people's fucking faces, and plausible deniability doubles the offense not diminishes it. This is the difference between "well maybe all she was offering was a coffee" and "maybe he thought I was offering him a coffee at 1am" and "maybe that is reflective of their home life" and "maybe they thought we can afford a maid."

"In fact, he no longer respects the other as a human person. From that moment on, to be precise, all conversation ceases; all dialogue and all communication come to an end. But what, then, is taking place? This very question is answered by Socrates with an old-fashioned term: flattery" ~ Josef Pieper

Pieper resonates with me because 'flattery' seems so trivial that it can fly under the radar. I am acutely aware of how banal it is, how mundane, how everyday it is for parents to ask children to perform for strange adults. How vulnerable I am right now to someone simply asking "what's wrong with making your bed?"

There's that, I don't know like US Naval College commencement speech where the guy who does have a proper title and an accomplished career said something like "if you wanna change the world, start by making your bed" and I think Jordan Peterson picked this up and ran with it somewhere in his 12 rules. But do you think any robust research has ever been done into whether it matters one fuck if beds are made? I ask this genuinely as someone who lived through the revolution in rolling vs stuffing sleeping bags into their case, and it turned out there was no fucking point to the tedium of rolling up a sleeping bag into a swiss roll, however, this may have been a result of the advent of synthetics and it used to matter when sleeping bags were stuffed with pigeon feathers and rat fur.

Anyway, parenting is controversial, I do not believe children are short adults and generally I think it is bad that so many children are growing up not with the historical standard experience of having unqualified parents (a quirk of our biology predating bureaucracy) but with unqualified parents who have no fucking handle on their own anxiety, and worse: dogs, our domesticated pack-animal best buddies being held hostage by people with no fucking handle on their anxiety. Yes, there are households out there where the dog is in charge and they can't operate the door handles.

I need to get this back to flattery, so here's the road I am taking - I think it is progress that parents now don't force their children to "Go give great aunt moustache a kiss. Go on. Go on! Kiss Aunt Moustache or I'll fucking beat you to death tonight! That's blood family is everything. Everything you hear me child! If we didn't have family, I would have to be accountable in some way for my cluster B personality disorders. There is no fucking escape, pucker up and kiss this distant stranger because she needs to feel looooooooooved, and if we don't uphold this convention maybe one day I will be accountable for my personality!" 

...and it may have taken lesbian feminist marxist scholars to finally say what we all feel - which is that when we were children we hated being forced to kiss some musty old hag who made us sad to see, hear, smell, touch and kiss. It is surprising that intellectual heavy lifting had to be done to reform the institution of extended family, by pointing out that it is a violation of human rights to force a child to 'love' someone without their consent.

For some people, even though I really got into that example, (I'm picturing Greeks and Italians), it may be hard to see what is wrong with the institutionalised lie of unconditional love for distant relations. (and even immediate relations) What is wrong is that it is a lie, what Pieper said, even worse, because nobody is respected as a human person in this scenario. The worse thing than lying to someone, is coercing someone to lie for you.

Still from stop motion Christmas feature "The Little Drummer Boy" where his refusal to smile is solved by painting one on.

One day my residential college's catering company invited some prospective clients to our dining hall to demonstrate what they were capable of. There was no briefing of the student residents that this was going on, we just came in one lunchtime and noticed that the food we were being served looked like actual food, with recognizable ingredients, like one might expect at a restaurant, with things like garnish.

My speculation, was that the catering company were pitching their services to clients represented by men in business suits sitting at a table. That it was likely a contract worth much more than the student residency contract. That they weren't invited to experience how they normally fed us, but how they potentially could feed them.

A friend of mine, an Arts-Science double major, speculated that the catering company were in fact trying to win a contract by overpromising, and felt himself to have an ethical obligation to approach the table of suits and say "just so you know, today's food is not representative of what we normally get." and he reported back to our table that a few of the suits had said smiling "oh is that so?"

Josef Pieper is a guy that wrote a little text you can find for free on the Internet Archive in pdf format called "Abuse of Language Abuse of Power" and I find it interesting that he touches upon flattery in particular. 

Though in my pull quote he references Socrates, from memory his argument against flattery is more grounded in the Kantian moral imperative to always treat people as an end not a means. Pieper argues, and I am inclined to agree, that flattery is by its very nature inescapably manipulative. We flatter because we want to use someone in some way.

Which brings me to the upper ceiling of the goldilocks zone of manners. There's a heuristic regarding manners, that goes "it is the duty of the host to make the guest feel at home, it is the duty of the guest to assure the host they are not." I really like this, because of its two way nature - the host extends hospitality and the guest declines to take advantage.

I grew up in a household where the rule was more like "it is the duty of the host to assure the guest we are not at home, it is the duty of the guest to assure the host they feel at home." Now the tricky thing is, most of this story is not my story, I can't tell it, I was just a witness dragged in a couple of times a year to a pantomime where our family presented to guests as though we were a hotel, not a home where a family lived.

Furthermore, my parents who held this view, and still do to a greater extent, I'm not confident were aware there was any other way to be and are not conscious of why when we had friends from out of town dropping in for some coffee and cake, it was necessary to mobilize the family to clean the house all Saturday.

My intuitions told me it was an undertaking worthy of ridicule, and on one distinct visit I joked before the guests arrival that I would take them on a tour and explain everything we had cleaned and tidied just for them, and then repeated this joke to the guests when I arrived. 

Decades later, comedian and eating disorder survivor Nikki Glasser appeared on Conan O'Brian's podcast and shared an anecdote of being complemented by a coworker's daughters for being so beautiful, and she preceded to "break down" the illusion of her beauty by going through everything from her fake eyelashes to her spray on tan and maybe washed ass, to impress upon these girls that it wasn't how she really looked, and her co-worker thanked her. 

The evidence that these standards remain ridiculous to me, takes the form of (for me) bizarre conversations with my parents where they have come to me seeking validation that they've done some good intervention by forcing their grandchildren to brush their hair.

As near as I can guess, my parents think that the modal member of society sees a kid with unkempt hair and thinks "that kid's parents must be crack addicts." that the children's grooming is a reflection on the parents. They simply haven't had time to catch up on the fact, that society no longer tends to view crack addicts with antipathy, but sees them as victims of complex bio-psycho-social factors. 

Now, I am not disputing the laws that require parents to take care of children's basic needs, like nourishment and hygiene. But brushed hair so the members of the parish don't start their tongues a wagging as to who is a good and proper Christian is not a child's basic need, and my parents and I are at a communication impasse.

It's an impasse where, like most impasses, I don't get what they don't get about the 21st century. I would guess that of all the things parents force their children to do, they are generally undertaken with a rationale of "they'll thank us for this one day" like getting vaccinated and educated, having limits imposed on their screen time. But then there's the all the things parents force their kids to do, that they re-evaluate as adults and don't thank their parents for, like elocution lessons, kissing decomposing relatives, concertina camp etc. and it scares me because I too will be displaced by time at some point, with kids telling me "tohm brah don't be such a woozle wozzle ya gravy nerfer, you sound a million years old when you worry about thermonuclear missile exchanges, nobody needs to live to reproductive age, get on the astral plane Xenial." or some shit. 

But my parents (and this is not a photograph of me) used to pay people money to give white boys like me this haircut:

This is a haircut you give a child, when you do not give a fuck what people think of your kid, when you want him to get the shit beat out of him and he only survives because so many parents also harbour resentments of their children that he disappears in a sea of mushroom cuts. The haircut you give your kid when you are oblivious to what people of culture and taste think of you, or your ability to parent. The haircut you give your kid, when you slept through the classes about Hitler's visions of a perfect Aryan race and what was bad about them. 

This haircut was incredibly in the literal sense of what 'incredibly' means, popular with parents of my parents generation. Like we'd been bad or something, or they hated us. That hair is clean, that hair is brushed and it looks terrible (sorry kid, but you know it's true, I can see that that smile is 'brave' and that you are in fact, about to cry and I still can't tamp down my bullying instincts to put my fist through your face because by rendering you unrecognisable it would improve your quality of life under that fringe) fucking cave children roll off elk hides with natty, parasite infested hair and look better than 80s white children with their low infant-mortality and long life-expectancy rates. Except as it transpires, that when the leading cause of death in males under 50 is no longer parasites, diarrhea, syphilis, rabies, appendicitis et al. men choose to kill themselves as their leading cause of premature death. Coincidence? It's Movember that fights for mens' mental health, not Bowlvember.

My parents in turn would have been of the Levi-501 generation, having had their own battles with their horn-rimmed spectacle parents to "chill out" about the fact that kids these days don't wear trousers, don't go to Church, drive without a hat on, don't wear gloves, and don't know who "that bitch on all the money" is. 

On one of my first dates with Claire, she pointed out how it was our grandparent's generation that lived through the depression, but an abhorrence of food waste had been transmitted through three generations, from their children to their children's children ie. us. I can only imagine that there is a similar sensibility regarding children's hair that goes back to the bubonic plague. But Milhouse was the voice of our generation when he declared "it's not cooties it's lice and my mom says it's nothing to be ashamed of."

But what about having to get a special duster on a pole to remove cobwebs in a high-ceilinged house on a Saturday, because the nobodies from nowhere were dropping in? 

I know to this day, I am sensitive to what I experience as the erasure of my being. Often the hardest part of a break up for me is the effect my former partner has in packing away anything and everything that reminds them of me, even though I understand this often indicates how much, rather than how little they care about me. 

There is just some deep intuition in me, that saw it as reasonable in a home to see invisible lines where it's like "here is tohmicito's room, he is a child and he manages this space like a child" or a few years later "this is the door to tohm's room, he is an adolescent, he shuts himself in his room and listens to angry music because he is going through a prolonged period of disillusionment and is seeking out voices that do not lie to him, if I stop talking you will hear the muffled bass lines of Mike Bordin or Justin Chancellor bass players of Faith No More and Tool respectively which are on high rotation. We don't know if he is masturbating in there and it would be wrong for us to investigate" whereas kitchens, communal living areas, bathrooms are spaces adults are responsible for. 

The alternative message which makes no sense when you say the quiet part out loud, is "these are our children they have no agency and are mistaken about who and what they are."

I am sure there is something about this performative cleaning that functions as flattery. There is plainly a deception, because of how uncooth my joke-cum-threat to point out to our guests that a coffee table was normally cluttered with books and VHS cases and CDs that we read, watched and listened to rather than dust, and so normally there was also a patina of dust on that coffee table too, but they were all stashed away to pay you the respect that we in fact sit in a sterile environment staring at the wall, or worse, watched Channel 9 on free to air TV.

I don't know, I don't understand it, I don't know what it was all in the service of, but it was fundamentally performative, deceptive. The best and most benign I can guess, is that it was a form of costly signalling, that lets the guests know we expended all this effort to erect a facade that nobody could possibly believe was reflective of our day to day reality. 

But I'm sad that you could not come to my house. See how messy my room actually was, the cds all over the floor, those CDs were important to me. The millimeters thick layer of dust on my desk I pretty much never used, that desk was unimportant to me, hence neglected, even reviled. How I piled my casual clothes in a heap and dressed mostly from the floor. And the doghair, on my clothes, on the rug, and the cardboard boxes our dogs had to sit and sleep in because their was a Quixotic quest being undertaken to keep the house tidy.

I'm sure there is a lot going on, and opinions will differ. I suspect a Robert Sapolsky style analysis would fully explain performative house cleaning as needing to understand 5 minutes ago, 5 days ago, 30 years ago...150,000 years ago as to whether your ancestors lived in a fishing archipelago or whether they were nomadic pastoralists on the steppe.

I would drive at this fundamental thing which is painting a smile on your face and come back to that quote from Pieper that "[they] no longer respects the other as a human person" as a fundamental truth. 

I will freely acknowledge, that there is much wrong with me, as a person. Even as a child, for which I likely was not equipped to take responsibility for, but this was not handled by painting a smile on my face, nor on our house.

And then there is the degree to which things were fine, but presented as perfect. Like cobwebs are fine. Dust on bookshelves are fine. Dog's being inside is fine. Lawns not being edged is fine. 

It was getting into these diminishing returns that I would guess the old culprit shame needs to be suspected, and I hope I do not take too much license from Pieper, to say it is an abuse, a lack of respect for our fellow human beings, to hide our shame.

"Who needs the approval of one family member when you can have it from millions of acquaintances?" ~ Mayor Shelbourne, Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs 

The reason you could not come to my house is that you weren't allowed to. I would eventually learn, that this was not a universal practice. As a kid and teenager, even as an adult, I have tended toward having a best friend whose house I spent a lot of time at, where I was made to feel at home, and aside from a willingness to help out with chores I probably failed to "assure the host I was not" at home. What I didn't do was go to a bunch of friend*s* houses, and likely for bio-psycho-social reasons, I didn't tend to befriend kids who lived in houses that felt like hotels rather than homes with shit lying around and mess and clutter and all the tangible evidence that people live in a home.

But because flattery is a deception, all I can testify to, as an insider, is that the house you visited was not the home I lived in. Either we were lying to you, or we needed you to lie to us. Or possibly both, like when Dave Chappell did that bit on fake people who make you fake, I believe anthropologists call them Californians.

Maybe though, other people live in neat and tidy homes. I mean absolutely some people do. Let me hit up pinterest real quick.

Neat with a dog.

Messy w/o a dog

An influencer's bread and butter is literally the pursuit of the adoration of millions of strangers. But in the first image, because of those very pressures, I just can't have confidence I know what I am seeing. It seems likely though that the image is heavily curated. Not just the fit, but perhaps the placement of the dog. My attempts to read the mind of the dog and compare it to my experience suggest that the dog was recently told to "up, up" on that cushion and "stay" or "sit" or possibly "down" which the dog will understand as "lay down" not "get down" and it appears to be interested in when master is going to okay it to come and loiter around her and be like "what are we doing where are we going?" 

It is plausible though, that this influencer is rich, they have a cleaning service, possibly an interior designer, they may also, as seems very likely, have been born rich. Rare is the Lillie Allen who while  having a famous parent, pulls themselves up by their bootstraps. I'm sure influencers have a huge advantage if they have the starting capital of a dentist's offspring, vs a teenager that caught a bus up to Oaxaca from Chiapas and works a 10 hour day to earn $4USD to save up for her first smartphone.

The second image though, contains text that suggests a different kind of curation. The thing is, I believe this photo, I feel confident in what I'm looking at, though it may be to some extent performative, this is much closer I feel, to the median experience of an adolescent to undergrad woman. She owns a bunch of shit and storage solutions don't work. She doesn't have to essentially complete an obstacle course to get into her bed each night, but I believe she has a wardrobe that has overflowed onto a cheap roller rack, and flat surfaces are immediately co-opted to house her abundance of shoes and cases for jewellery and makeup and electronics and she is time poor, cash poor and space poor.

The same confidence-disparities apply when it comes to visiting people's houses. Alas, just as I don't understand the full story of my own experience, like I've been in some spick-and-span houses in my life, but I have no fucking idea how curated my impression was. I simply lack the experience of someone going all out when I visited to make their place feel like a hotel suite, and then watched them break after three days and confess that "I can't keep this up. I need to use the stove top and fats gonna fly. I can't keep running down the street to the public park toilet block to shit. I live in this house, and my existence leaves a trace."

Perniciously leaving me with a lack of understanding if I have been in households that were what my household occasionally pretended to be, or whether I have been in households that were also pretending to be what we pretended to be.

I feel it is more likely to be the latter, under Occam's razor rules. The best evidence I have is that common experience people in Australia who live in apartments with balconies have, where they are technically not allowed to put a clothes horse on their balcony because in a paradox of modernity - apartments are less valuable to potential investors if they give the impression that they are used as housing by tenants.

And just as apartment dwellers struggle to air their clothes in deference to hypothetical buyers passing by, enter the Schrodinger person whom may or may not exist that was alleged by my school administrators to call up the school to report uniform policy violations they had seen by students off campus, down the street. I have friends that say "of course these people really exist" I'm more inclined to think these were just "good guesses" by administrators playing the odds that almost certainly, students left campus and untucked their shirts, rolled up their sleeves, took their blazers off, and defecated in gutters because school uniforms are anachronisms from another fucking country.

The kind of person, I assert, that has the motivation, should they exist, to call up a school and say "I saw three ungentlemanly students of your supposed house of learning entering a KFC at 2pm with their blazers tucked under their arms!" is by definition someone whose esteem is worth fucking nothing. As Bart said to Mr. Stanky "let's just say I'm a concerned prude with a lot of time on his hands."

I'm not saying I've never been to Epstein Island, I'm not saying I'm not in the Epstein files, redacted or unredacted. But the curation of private school students, really the upper class, the attempts to mould young boys and girls into the kind of person who wouldn't be seen dead in a KFC without a formal jacket, is likely foundational to the kinds of abuses perpetrated by and for the Epstein class.

What matters is not the etiquette, but the manners. Objectively the kid whose school does not require him to wear a necktie that holds the KFC door open for a tradie coming in to grab lunch and use the bathroom is a better person than the private school boy in blazer and tie that leaves their trays on the table for staff to clean up and date rapes your daughter.

Now, I'm not stereotyping all private school boys as monsters and all public school boys as angels. I am a private school boy. I am saying "manners maketh the man" and the point of blazers with embroided crests, leather hard soled shoes, neckties, boater hats is and always has been pageantry to confuse exclusionary etiquette with inclusive manners.

You don't hold a door open for another person so they can esteem you, you do it because you esteem them.

It was my second year in a residential college that was likely my first real experience of dysmorphia. At my college, back then, people applied on printed applications, you attached a passportish size photo of yourself, an image that would be reproduced in the student extension directory in black and white photocopy and the tradition was that the photos from the application would be stuck to these big boards for all the "freshers" and displayed on the junior common room window with names to help facilitate orientation week, where the intake students got to know each other.

I was an "o-weeker" a returning resident that would facilitate o-week, an elected official so I was present that year when two young women cut their photos out of the display board. In contrast to making kids kiss distant decomposing relatives without their consent, yes there are in hindsight likely a bunch of consent issues to be explored with this tradition and the use of residents application photos.

At the time though, I found it odd behaviour. Irrational. I expect it to be a basic incompetence in perceiving how we look. A lot of people think ascertaining how we look is a matter of perceiving oneself in the mirror, and may be thrown when seeing in a photo of themselves, that their hair is parted the other way, that other people don't see their reflection, they see them. But actually, how we look is best ascertained by how other people treat us. This is the reconciliation we need to do with a photo we find unflattering, and there is that flattery again.

When I see a photo of myself looking particularly weary, haggard or burnt out, when strong downlighting turns my hair translucent and reveals my scalp or experience dysphoria in myself usually because I'm doughier than my self conception of who people are interacting with, I feel something, maybe bad, but take a conscious moment to think "well that's how I looked and people treated me fine." 

Now I don't disagree if you are already thinking "that's because you're a man, that's because you are white" certainly it is easier for me, but the tricky thing for me regards flattery. People tend to treat me as though I am intelligent and authoritative and worthy of respect no matter how I appear outwardly, I can count on one hand the number of times I have been disrespected to any extent that obstructed me from getting what I want. You in an Armani woollen suit and glasses by Oliver's peoples and Gucci loafers is not your ticket to being treated like I have been treated almost my entire life.

Maybe I'm being flattered. Almost certainly I have been a victim of flattery, having interactions where people assure me I'm fine through word or deed and then never hear from them again because they were lying to me. The contents of other people's minds and hearts is also not entirely a mystery to me, though mind-reading is, I acknowledge, a cognitive distortion. 

But there's also times when I'm overconfident, I'm being mean, I can tell people don't like it but won't do anything and I avoid my shame by feeling contempt for them, and their inability to stand up for themselves and this is like when I say to someone "nice hair" and they are like "ha ha." When I write out the social exchange it sounds more sinister than it is.

And by that I mean:

From "The Far Side" by Gary Larson.

I'm sure it doesn't help that I make fun of your hair, but this is because I am a lay pleb. and not a dentist merely touching your gums gently with a probe and using your sensitivity to diagnose a larger problem in your emotional health.

One of the things certainly wrong with me, is that I don't esteem most people enough to esteem me in return. I've told the story a number of times from my early flirtatious exchanges with Yoli, and it resonated with one friend enough that they've shared it back with me as an example of me-ness. I walked into the break room one time and she was there so it was just the two of us. We made small talk, and she asked me what I'd been up to and it happened to be after the weekend I ran a marathon which I mentioned and she said "what? I don't believe you." and I replied "I don't need you to believe me."

I possess in other words the obverse attitude to "photos or it didn't happen" which isn't in an internet context, insensible as a policy. (There's a lot of people claiming drinking milk from a cow's anus cured their cancer and such.) Crucially, the marathon isn't something I have run in the past to seek esteem from my peers. It is for me, an autotelic exercise that I generally employ to get away from people and feel emotions like isolation and despair. And Yoli is someone I liked and wanted to like me.

Based on my observations, other people seem to really care about the impressions they make on people they in turn, don't particularly care about.

Back when commercials weren't 100% gambling and scams, Harpic ran a campaign with the slogan "What does your loo say about you?" for which, I cannot find the ad that ran on Australian televisual milk crates, but I found a British one that is no doubt, the original:

I wish I could find the ad campaign I remember, because for my cultural context the casting sensitivities were perfect. The host was clearly a perfectly nice woman just trying her best, the kind Mitchell and Webb portrayed in the "women sort yourselves out" sketch, and the guest was some horrible snob, a real Karen, someone with both resting bitch-face and animated bitch-face, the kind of woman the Australian patriarchy can't successfully keep out of offices where they can make an impression on foreign visitors so they can't appreciate how chill we can be at our best.

My RMIT Marketing lecturer Con Stavros, now a faculty dean, made no bones to my class that he found such campaigns unethical, not specifically this one, but any that operated by trying to sell you some personal deficit in order to sell you a product to bring you back up to the blissful ignorance you experienced before they told you.

This is particularly different from say, making someone aware they have cilantro stuck in their teeth, causing them momentary embarassment before they remedy the situation with a fingernail, and know going forward everything is going to be alright.

I can't read British archetypes, in the Australian ad though, you need to be able to parse that the problem isn't that your toilet doesn't have the right plastic attachment that releases chemical streaks with every flush, gets covered in shit itself, colours the water some colour that people associate with strong chemical agents, think of a port-a-potty and also infer that your shit must be especially potent because most toilets don't have visible urinal cakes in them, except for the grossest toilets used by the grossest people; but the problem is that you have a snob in your house, and the ad actually tries to sell you an anti-solution to the problem - a product that will encourage a snob to stay in your house.

I have said before, and I'll say again, I know there is something wrong with me. I too heavily discount millions of acquaintances. There is something unhealthy in the romantacism of ATCQ's "Against the World" I am the grasshopper that needs that speech about "if the ants rise up" from Pixar's A Bug's Life although granted the grasshoppers lose despite the speech and in my case there is no "us" of grasshoppers, and grasshoppers have a more successful historical record of killing hundreds of thousands of humans that underestimate them than possibly any other animal on earth except the mosquito. But I digress.

I'm going to "yes, and" my own defects as a human being. Psychologist Esther Perell, it's been years but I listened to the first maybe two seasons of her podcast where she shared de-identified recordings of couples therapy sessions. I recall one where a couple were struggling with impotency issues. The husband couldn't get it up, Esther dug into his background and inquired as to whether anyone had ever asked him "what would you like" on the hunch that he was from a cultural background where families valued 'face' or something.

I'm not some orientalist that delineates a hard and fast line between the Orient and the Occident and that they are necessarily opposite. In this case The Onion article "Teen Unaware He Locked in Heated Ongoing Competition With Parents' Friends' Son" is good investigative journalism into the human condition. 

White people also get overly concerned with face without Maoism, Confucianism, Taoism, Buddhism, Hinduism or living through the Qin, Ming, Tang and Han dynasties, The Great Leap Forward and The Cultural Revolution.

People everywhere fall for comparison traps, let the imagined attitudes of millions of acquaintances get into their own heads, and wind up resentful of their own children, something they imagine would also be judged unfavourably by millions of acquaintances and so need to add to the list of things they need to "fake until they make"

There's a calibration issue, and like I probably am not calibrated into the Goldilocks zone, I wear clothes until they fall apart, this has been a life long habit, and the recent change I made to my lifestyle was to learn to sew so I can better repair my clothes and get even a few more weeks out of my rags. 

Alas, it's a calibration issue, not a "just don't do that" but you have to make careful adjustments to stay in the zone. 

The triggering incident for this post was being in my parents house and needing to throw something out. I walked up to the bin and had to ask "where is the bin?" in a world weary voice, for me the equivalent of "Dad have you stopped taking your meds?". The bin had been removed, hidden, in anticipation of a guest. Making me instantly recall the scene from Curb where Larry's cousin Andy and wife tell Larry off for using their kitchen trash can, and Andy's wife explains the purpose of the bin is that "it indicates that we know how to throw things out" to guests.

I am certain that this was based on actual events.

Fortunately, that was not the house I grew up in either, the house I grew up in had a bin. Our first dog Lil when she was dying but before we knew it, would knock the bin over to eat the contents because she couldn't swallow food because she had developed megaesophagus and so was starving constantly. Lil was a big and best part of the house I grew up. Sadly, you couldn't come.

Sunday, February 22, 2026

A Naive Series 1.5: Moralism

 At the moment I am trying to avoid short form content, largely because Youtube is pushing it, and I associate it with TikTok and Twitter all bad things.

But I like Subway Takes, conceptually and in execution. And I saw the thumbnail of his take with Zohran Mamdani, and the subtitles said something like "...no matter what literature you've read, I'm not defunding the police."

The Problem of Evil

"The Problem of Evil" is an argument against the existence of the classical god, which generally has the property of being "all loving" or "benevolent."

The trouble with this argument, is that in an atheistic or agnostic worldview, evil isn't really an intelligible concept. Christopher Hitchens believed in evil and defined it as "the surplus value of totalitarianism" and you may or may not be impressed and/or satisfied by such a definition.

Look at this - classical god, properties, benevolent, atheistic, agnostic, intelligible, surplus, totalitarianism. None of these are intuitive concepts nor words the modal person uses in daily life.

We are kind of stuck with the name of this argument, but really it is "the problem of unnecessary suffering" it is pointing to the contrary evidence for a benevolent god in the form of a dear carcass found after a wild fire where a park ranger can determine that it suffered painful burns to a large percentage of its body before taking shelter where it proceeded to die over hours in agonizing pain.

And you go "where's the design of a benevolent god in this circumstance?" and the supernatural to be clear is outside the purview of science as a falsifiable claim, so most theists will respond "god works in mysterious ways" aka "don't ask me, ask our all-loving god."

Again, all of this is very complicated to a majority of people who feel no need to think so deeply about this. They can have an idol of the Virgin Mary on their dashboard and never see a deer in their whole lives.

But culturally, what is commonplace are concepts like "evil" and "sin" that are supernatural, so we don't actually generally know them to exist, but a lot of people act like they do.

Evil also crops up in the real unifying features of storytelling - or the monomyth, where "the heroes journey" is demonstrably not a monomyth.

To recap my understanding, almost all stories are about trouble of some kind, and typically there is something causing that trouble. Like an agent. So the three billy goats gruff face trouble in the form of food security, and that trouble is caused by the troll under the bridge.

Flood myths for example, inject into our understanding of reality, an angry god, they are not just an indifferent weather event. The Mexica told stories (and believed) that the moon was the decapitated head of a woman who attacked their culture hero. Trouble and agency.

We naively believe, that things don't just happen. Evil, is a property of our stories, and when we start to think about Disney animated fairytales, it becomes much easier to define "evil" because we have these very unrealistic malevolent actors who want to make bad decisions. Wicked stepmothers who want to take over the kingdom in order to induce drought and mass starvation.

In reality, our bad actors are often people who want to win political office in order to enrich themselves and so do so on the backs of migrants. But these people are more incompetent than evil, as their regimes often derail when the economy collapses because they didn't understand the net benefits of migration and the complexity of a modern economy. The Trusses and Trumps and Mileis.

Then we get the force in reality that is "trying" to destroy the world and everything else - entropy. But those who understand it at all, understand it as very much a thing like gravity, that has no desires or motivations or interests. The universe expanded, cooled gave rise to life, but will keep expanding until it falls apart. 

The naive default is to set up a moral code simply by sorting "things" into "good" and "bad" buckets. Hence "evil" makes an intuitive sense in a way that entropy doesn't. 

Racism is bad vs Why Racism is bad

To demonstrate this naive morality, most people that I know learned that racism was bad in school. The cliche "I'm not a racist but..." suggests that the speaker understands that racism is bad but also that they have no understanding of why racism is bad.

The reason racism is bad, is because we treat individuals as members of a homogenous group. Something obvious in a thing like racial profiling. this reason is upstream of common effects of racism like when a group in power deprives a marginalised group of opportunity based on notions of race, that we can also cite as reasons racism is bad.

This is also why racism pairs so naturally with facism, which is, even among scholars, hard to define but has a common thruline of asserting that a nation state exists within the blood of its people. 

But you'll notice that the argument I've provided for why racism is bad, remains valid for describing why fascism is bad - Just as it is bad to have a young black man who is the best candidate for a scholarship or job denied by a stereotype applied to them based on a Rudyard Kipling poem or some shit, it is bad to put forward as a candidate a white man based on ten minute youtube clip where Jordan Peterson rambles about Judeo-Christian values.

Though "race" has no meaning when it comes to genes, it has traditionally been based on phenotypes (appearances) and accompanying psuedosciences like phrenology and what not.

This meant, and this is my speculation, that for much of the 20th century, the practical difference between knowing racism is bad, and knowing why racism is bad had little consequence. Probably right up to the instigating incident of the War on Terror.

There was a hint in the name, that we were faced with a far more conceptual war, yet many reduced it to an analogy for "racism is bad" the received wisdom of a late 20th century education that had almost entirely abandoned the effort of asking students why racism is bad as they taught us the horror of the holocaust and the plight of Vietnamese refugees resettling in Australia, and the shame of establishing a Commonwealth nation in the absence of a treaty with the human occupants of the land.

It is hard to describe, but the resultant phenomena I walk amongst too this day, is a population of people who understand that racism is bad, and do not understand racism. I am not referring to the well known "I'm not a racist but..." trope, but a population of people who say myriad variations of "Islam is basically Christianity" the errancy of which literally would take too long to write out a single example.

Because I don't want to single out Islam from the incurious secular mind. The point is, it is possible to be bigoted not on the basis of phenotype (appearances) but ideas, giving us phenomena like "call out culture" and "cancel culture."

It gave us extremely weird moments of the last decade, that in the parlance of right-wing commentators scared of reds under the bed, they call "woke" but specifically and technically I would just describe as the "illiberal left" that began to label MLK Jr. as a white supremacist, and free-speech as a racist dog whistle. 

And if you didn't come across someone between 2015-2024 that didn't say something overtly and obliviously racist with all sincerity like "we need to stop hiring white men to management" then you're either a) 15 years old in 2026 or b) were that racist person.

But I explained such encounters to myself with the simplest reconciliation - people only understand that racism is bad, they do not understand why racism is bad.

Eating Red Berries

Naive moralism I'm asserting is just that our default approach to life is to do as our parents instruct. And I mean, while I use the evolutionary story of waiting to see our parents eat the red berries before we eat the red berries, I bet monkeys have been observed to eat all kinds of lethal shit out of natural curiosity.

Conversely, I bet that there's a number of kids that have had the shit beaten out of them hypocritically for imitating their parents - like smoking mum's cigarettes or beating off to dad's lingerie brochure he keeps hidden in his sock drawer.

However the determination, it is not so much a system as a database of accumulated knowledge of "good" and "bad" and all that matters is that it works.

Alas, we have institutions that have enabled greater forms of civilization that are not naive and not intuitive. Like the judiciary branch of government that functions as an institution to make us more civilized. 

The world in which we live, where if you a woman were to divorce me a man and take up with a friend of mine as an intimate partner, and I were to kill that friend for "stealing my woman" we come from a naive past where you the woman would have raped me the man because you are my property and I had benevolantly settled the matter by killing another man and reclaiming you as my property, and you just had the hard work ahead of you of repenting before god to save your soul.

Now we live in a civilized time where a slow, deliberate and cerebral process has determined that actually no. Women aren't the property of men, that irreconcilable differences is a legitimate basis for seperation and divorce and that I have no right to take the life of another person to appease my own unstable emotions.

I feel modern phenomena like "revenge porn" bolster my case that the moralism I describe is naive and that the justice insofar as our civilization achieves is an educated position that requires constant transmission. 

Just on the front of men and boys not possessing woman and girls, some will be educated into this position by stories their parents read them, others by completion of primary school, more by completion of secondary school (with the learning experience of the onset of puberty and the awakening of sexuality) but beyond these formative years, there will still be men who require a psychologist to explain to them in their 30s and 40s that they do not own their (former) partner, and some will require the intervention of a court to essentially mandate they undertake some form of remedial education.

And the rubble that will need to be cleared in all cases, will be a naive intuition as to their own victimhood of a wrong doing. They may, as Jonah Hill famously did, appropriate psychology speak to brandish their own jealousies as "boundaries" they maintain.

Divine Command Theory

Something that should be better known is Socrates dialogue "Euthyphro" but with a name like that, we are basically fucked. In it Socrates asks Euthyphro, presumably able to pronounce his name, but maybe Socrates just called everybody "Gus" (he seemed the type):

 "Is the pious (τὸ ὅσιον) loved by the gods because it is pious, or is it pious because it is loved by the gods?"

Socrates to modern Christian nationalists was an abhorrent pagan, but monotheism makes this dilemma even more delicious.

Say Jesus descends from the heavens tomorrow, robes flapping in the breeze, a crown of light resting on his brow and a sword suspended in mid air from his tongue, and he holds up his stigmatized hands and declares "Yo, the legal age of consent is 12 or first menses for women, whichever comes first. Statutory rape is bullshit, a woman's honour can be repaired through marriage to her rapist."

Here is the dilemma (if you are Christian, or otherwise recognise Jesus as some kind of authority) is something good just because god commands it so? 

Because of particular interest in this philosophical dilemma, is the way most with an emotional stake in the character of god might choose to weasel out of it - "god would never say that" - because this assertion demands an argument so as not to be dismissed.

At this point, I'm regretting my example, because in all likelihood for all but recent Catholics (and I don't actually know if the Pope has ruled on age of consent etc.) it's likely that a lucid exegesis of scripture would lean towards "this is precisely the kind of thing the Christ of scripture would say" hence why this was practiced in Christendom up until shockingly recently.

But if he said "kill all puppies and kittens" you really have to argue why, your god would never say such a thing. This dilemma destroys the basis of what some apologists call "divine command theory" that is used to pooh-pooh secular morality as baseless. They are arguing that morality comes from burning bush voices distributing tablets to bearded men on mountaintops. Literally what the scene from the Simpsons where Homer the thief greets Simon the adulterer with "my wife sends her regards" before Moses hands down the new morality.

The beauty of Socrates youth corrupting dilemma is that if god would never command us to kill all puppies and kittens, then god is deferring not just to his own reasons, but reasons he is constrained, there is a greater principle than god says so. 

In "Le Petit Prince" the titular character on his journey to earth, comes across a planet inhabited by a king who commands the stars to twinkle. (Questions of atmosphere are not addressed) The Little Prince asks how he can know that the king doesn't just order the stars to do what they were doing anyway, for which the king has no good answer.

Just so, if god(s) can change what is good and bad, then what is good and bad is arbitrary. If he can't then we are a long way towards what atheists routinely do in excising the divine command as unnecessary and just using reason.

Lifelong Scandelization

The bigots often make the mistake of fixating on religious fundamentalists, and we should be sympathetic to this bigotry, because we as a society are pretty pour at acknowledging that we don't really believe in freedom of religion.

We have a tacit understanding that the world we live in largely works, because while people like religiosity in theory their own religiosity usually survives on a kind of wilful ignorance of the contents of their religion. 

Christianity being the one I am most familiar with, this means I come across really wishy-washy ways in which the contents of scripture are dismissed, like for example, a lay insistence that the only real commandment of Jesus that supercedes the heavily livestock obsessed commandments of Moses is to "love thy neighbour" and this basically means the same as "buy the world a coke."

I'm a fan of Jonathan Rauch who can speak soberly about the reality that most US Christians are "secular Christians" a rough analogue to secular Jews. 

But in this post, I am asserting something far more universal - that almost everyone defaults to a naive moralism, they accept uncritically notions of good and bad as presented to them. 

Yet even half an average human lifespan is plenty of time to observe social mores shifting, and witness the friction caused by naive moralism. For example, two generations removed from me I heard the opinion that gay marriage would destroy society. One generation removed from me, I saw someone struggle with two dads spending the afternoon at a park with young kids, with no visible "mother" present, and I am of a generation that assumes either the two dads are a couple, or a couple of divorcees with their kids.

The remedy to such scandalization however, is brightly an achievable one - argument. The prejudices of other generations and our own can be relieved through argument. The trouble we face is the regression we have experienced in our abilities to even furnish arguments. Indeed, we have members of younger generations currently alive that find arguments, and being expected to furnish an argument, itself scandalous.

Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Culona Profunda

Anoche era en una fiesta de mi amigo y despues un o dos horas de mis llegada un choque de trenes* llegaron.

*(es una exsprecion en inglese pero no se si tiennes en espanol. Reddit dije tuyos dije "calamidad" o "uno completo disastre")

Soy muy corajudo entonces, no dije nada, por supuesto. Y en justicia por todo tiempo yo "conocer" esta persona solo esculcha historias de completo disastre entonces anoche es solo una historia mas en el trend linear. 

Pero anoche me recordo una historia de mis tiempo como un miembro de "Big Apple Gym" en GDL. 

Hermosa en Tapatiudad

Mi primera gimnasia en GDL era mixto. Entonces tenia todos tipos, todos anos (sin ninos). Por ejample, tenia matons como es aya todo dias y hablar de solo gimnasia, haciendo ejercicio y comer broccoli, personas como no tenia viva afuera gimnasia. 

Y gorditos muy corajudo enserio que llegar y dar sus paso en y muy raro por mexicanos en gimnasias - haciendo cardio.

Y abuelitos asientas en bicis-ejercicios venta ambulitos muy tranquilas.

Y senoritas muy bodaciosas haciendos casi exclusivamente en las culas - sentadillas, flexiones de piernas, atar la maquina de escaleras durante horas y nada mas.

En las ultima groupo, tiena una nueva mujer muy hermosa.

Guadalajara es famosa para ellas mujeres. En Columbia una tapatia puede ser una estrella de telenovella, pero en Guadalajara las mismo tapatia es solo una camerera de tortas ahogados. Ser hermosa en Guadalajara es ser divina afuera Guadalajara. Es excesiva.

Soy pervitido, tu sabes, entonces la mire y las hermosa necessidad ayuda de entrenador por maquina de presna de piernas. 

La Revalacion 

En las mundo de mediums espirituales, una tecnica es los "buena suposicion" como por ejample los medium utilizar els podre psiquico a "a tu hermano le gustaba...la pizza?" Increible! Y en uno gimnasio mixto no necissitas podres psiquicos con el fin de hecho una buena suposicion 80~90% de las mujeres es aqui por una culona que utilizar como estante.

Y ella es mismo. Pero comienza como hermosa, y ellas culon no es mal, solo chiquita.

Mis revalacion es esso: Lo que ellas problema o obstaculo en las vida, la solucion no es una culona grande. 

Mas general es: Nosotros tienden a hecho en que nosotros es buena en. 

Las ricos tienden a hecho en obtenar mas ricos.

Las hermosos tienden a hecho en devinir mas hermoso.

Las eruditos tienden a hecho en mas educacion.

Mucho hecho es los hecho de evitando.

Yo tambien tengo esta problemo, solo no es manifiesto en mis culon.

Usualamente voy escribir mas pero yo se es nada puedo averiguar hoy que significado no necissitas averiguar mas cosas manana.

Pero hoy es llamas, correos, hechos puedo hacer como con tiempo resolvera mis problemos significados. 

Simplemente mi gustas los eterno problemo de existencial, y si tengo los opportunidad de vida las vida de contemplativo yo lo haria.

Las Problemo Mas Peculiar

Lucho con los imagen de la hermosa que pensado (por sus acciones) "no lo sufficiamente hermosa" entonces necessitas commencar un programa con entranador personal por hecho una culona. 

Es certiamente una cliche dise "el primer paso es admitir que tienes un problema" pero tal vez no porque ustedes gentes amoooooooooooooores Jodorowski las magician de "Psychomajik." 

Pero que es cuando saltarse primer paso y en commencar segundo paso? Creo es las hermosa que necessitas un mas grande culo.

Nosotros vivas en el tiempo de crisis de autodiagnostico y nosotros no es calificado. Porque?

Hablando de Jodorowski, por mucho tiempo creo muchas tipos de nueva era probare cualquier medicamento hasta que no funcione. Creo es porque siento si un medicamento funciones es un problemo mas peculiar - los confrontacion con tiempo perdido, los volumen de sufrimiento sin necessidad porque es medicamento funciones en el mundo.

En los libro "Dune" (creo "Dune Messiah") es un idioma como "Una cosa preferiría morir antes que convertirse en su opuesto" y Doctor Gordon Livingstone dise "Cuanto más persiste una dolencia, más se convierte en parte de tu identidad." entonces el primer paso - admitir que tienes un problema - es un problema existencial. 

Y en un caso de culonita que queiras un culona esta problema transforma a problema de "No me basto yo mismo" porque a admitir tu (o yo) no es sufficiente es intolerable tambien. 

Eso Solo Es.

Si ti quieres mas yo recomiendo: "What got you here won't get you there" y "Principio de Peter"

Monday, February 09, 2026

P is for Protean Project

I have a project in the works, I don't know if I'll ever get it up. I'm exploring partnering to try and get it going right now.

A little background

I think the good fight is that of economic literacy. Indeed, I suspect I've lived my entire life through a resulting crisis of economic illiteracy. 

When primary school aged Greta Thunberg has a teacher explain the coming climate catastrophe, it sends a child into a nigh-catatonic depression. In her own words, she could not believe that climate change could be real, because if this was known, people would be obliged to act on it.

I have some sympathy with Greta's logic. The distinctly dramatic reaction she had, possibly arose from her inability to look around and intuit how people are socialized, as such she imagined she lived in a world of technocrats or something, not animal spirits and evolved psychology.

To borrow from Rory Sutherland, the two biggest predictors of human behaviour are 1) habit - people keep doing what they've been doing. and 2) sensitivity - people do what everyone else is doing. Greta probably was unusually insensitive, so she didn't take cues from her classmates, the teacher, parents, political leaders etc. that nobody else was taking action on this climate change thing.

Taking us right back to Socrates dictum as written by Plato "The unexamined life is not worth living" and that is where I sympathise with Greta. The nature of my own ongoing existential crisis is not so much that "I don't know what to do with my life" - a problem that any career counsellor could solve with a few brochures, but that "I don't know what you are doing with your life." 

I hope this then is sufficient background to hit you with my introductory question, from the introductory class, the 101 of this project of mine:

"What is the economy for?"

I've nowhere near robustly tested this question, but my initial and admittedly inadequate sample's most common response is to be completely stumped by the question.

Where friends have furnished an answer, which is a rarity, the answer has been idealistic rather than descriptive. I speculate this is because few people on this planet take the perspective of steering the economy, it is more common to be "sensitive" you see someone trying to lift a couch, you join in by picking up the other end. The economy is something you approach, you don't inform it, it informs you through job postings and supermarket prices and auction results and sharemarket indexes and op eds in the paper.

Being stumped by the question, for me, is an answer to Greta's incredulity. People who devise an answer to the question graduate to the Lee Kuan Yew question: "Does it work?" to trouble shoot whether their answer best fits the initial question: "What is the economy for?" (descriptive) or the unasked question "What should the economy be for?"

I'm operating off a presupposition that much human behaviour can be explained by the "unexamined life" whatever the economy is, I suspect it is an emergent phenomena driven largely by human habit. What I observe is that people get jobs because they need them, they move out of home, get married, have children and send their children to school in order to get jobs. That is basically the economy and what the economy is for.

Something that works well in a largely unproductive agriculture based economy that was most of human history. But note, that when 80% of the European population worked in agricultural food production, though high falutin' concepts like "the economy" would be unintelligible, rephrased as "what are we doing here?" I would suspect far more superstitious serfs could answer, sooner than be stumped with something like "we are spreading the true faith to bring about the promised land."

The Promised Land: Getting Rich 

I haven't come across someone to question about the purpose of the economy that would sort of give the Y2K Republican base response of "the economy under capitalism allows people to thrive so they can buy the things they want and need to be happy and so we can all prosper"

People who assume that the purpose of the economy is somewhat identical to a prosperity gospel. 

I can't bring myself to credit, that anyone actually imagines that the economy is working towards some future where everybody lives in a seaside mansion, with a superyacht moored out front in case anyone ever wants to take their own private household voyage to the Caribbean.

Likely, I think people will intuit that the economy is some kind of competition that rewards winners and punishes losers. So like, people who study hard then work hard get mansions and yachts, and people who don't put in the effort deserve either nothing (rightwing) or something (leftwing).

Here I'm beginning to circle a concept of meritocracy, that I suspect more often is actually a "just world fallacy" or "just world hypothesis" approaching in extreme cases an "affirming the consequent" fallacy as baked into the ancient Hindu cast system, where one inferred from the quality of an individuals life the quality of that individual in their past life or something.

And here's where I've had to converge on Epstein Island, but I'm not quite there yet.

The more *I* think about "the economy" the more I think the problem humanity collectively faces is a distribution problem, and this lead to a question like:

How hard does someone have to work, to justify being rich forever?

I haven't tested this question, I'm not even sure of the wording. But what I'm getting at is the idea of a Jeff Bezos or a Bill Gates, without even getting to the descendants of characters like Rockefeller, Hilton, Johnson etc. the subjects of documentary "born rich."

The conversations I want to have, and that I want people to have, is to tease out that we probably can't imagine any work a hardworking farmer can do where we'd say that one farmer can work a few years in their early 20s so productively, that they can then retire for life. We'd probably instinctively know that any farmer we want around as a society has to keep producing food, because we are going to keep needing food, so long as they own the farmland. 

Furthermore, we probably intuit that people can't submit themselves to be shaken down by farmers extorting every cent they earn in order to buy enough food to survive. 

As such there is no apple so delicious, so crisp, so nutritious, that a farmer could have one good harvest and then sit back for 50 years collecting royalties.

But, maybe it's okay for Bill Gates to set up a company and program a word processor that becomes a global standard for digital documents. It might take him 10 years to come up with Microsoft Office, but it can scale to billions of customers, just by programming one computer application. Something so useful, that we are happy for him to get a dollar from each customer - he gets a billion dollars and never has to work again.

Maybe I'm okay with that.

But then we have only one side of a 2x2 grid filled out, people who can never work so hard/create value that they can be rich for life/forever, and people who can work hard enough/create enough value that they can be rich forever, but we are missing people who don't work hard at all/never create any value and don't get rich, and people who don't work hard at all/never create any value and do get rich forever.

Probably even more categories - because you can produce a social good, produce nothing, or produce a social harm. So we get drug dealers who harm society and make no money, and drug dealers who harm society and get incredibly rich. We have management consultants who harm society (probabilistically speaking) create no value, and get incredibly rich. We have public servants that create incredible social good, make no money at all.

That I'm confident, is more descriptive of the economy we have, than any conception of a meritocracy, but the question as framed is more idealistic than descriptive.

As a general principle, I'm with Keynes on fundamental uncertainty, the prize of life long riches just needs must be taken off the table as unfeasible. Over a certain limit, people should just be handed a very nice illustrated edition of Boethius' Consolation of Philosophy.

But I think some people think the point of the economy is some kind of "he who dies with the most toys wins" game. And I suspect this attitude can be located in all socioeconomic stratas, giving us cosplaying farmers with their mobile tank pick up trucks purchased on finance, and superyacht owners complaining about the red tape of having to get a bridge removed from a canal in Rotterdam so the superyacht can be moved from the boatbuilders to a seaside mooring for delivery of its helicopter.

The prize being, to get as rich as possible to the end of squeezing others out, ie. treating them like dirt. The tragedy of people adopting the "Monopoly Mindset" where the aim of the game is for one player to bankrupt everyone else at which point, humanity needs to reflect - the game ends.

But a piece of real estate has cropped up in the past 5 months, a little island in the Caribbean, that suggests a follow up question to the one in bold above:

How hard does someone have to work, to justify sex with underage girls?

In the fifth season of FX TV series Fargo, Jennifer Jason Leigh plays a billionaire owner of the largest debt collection service in the US. At one point she exclaims something like "what's the point of being a billionaire if you can't get someone killed?"

My feeling is, such a mentality is probably naively intuitive. I suspect that many people for example, in a survey would assume that their countries head of state was "above the law" and that it generally takes education to get people to accept a notion like "nobody is above the law."

I suspect, many people for example, accept traditional gender roles on the basis of an assumption that 'dad' doesn't have to cook dinner (part of the 'second shift' women work after work in two-income households) because he has been working all day. Some traditional model based on the economic unit being a household and not an individual, the 'dad' finances the whole operation of the household unit and so is exempted from cooking, cleaning, laundry etc. 

Sticking for a moment with this 'traditional' household economic unit, a man could become so rich in the 1920s or the 1930s that his wife could retire to a purely administrative role, bringing in women of colour and even men to work in this daddy-financed economic household unit that was sufficiently flush to employ cooks, laundry ladies, cleaners, groundskeepers, maintenance men, nannies and/or governesses. The subject of books by Dickens and the Brontes.

I think we are already living in the time of it being difficult to explain to young people (25 and under) that we used to talk about "millionaires" and "multimillionaires" until relatively recently.

If once upon a time, a person could earn so much that their household unit could employ staff to run that household, it stands that by earning even more, somebody could expand their household into a whole town, or even city.

Stuff that never really historically eventuated, not just having a live in cook or cleaner, but a live in butcher and tailor. This is more the thing of royal households that were one and the same with the state, than what rich people did with their money.

The Weinstein Effect

You start up a company, and you host your first board meeting where you vote to accept your corporate governance documents. Everyone is in agreement that sexual harassment and assault are not to be tolerated and any transgression results in instant termination.

Three years later, you are thrilled that this company is successful. Your pay has tripled, you are picking and choosing work, people are dying to work with you. You feel you have a license to print money, and so you've bought your dream home, taking out a mortgage that would make your dear old grandma's eye water. You aren't worried though, you are flying to Cannes film festival and then heading home via Monaco.

98% of your business is won by one star employee. You can't believe your luck in hitching your wagon to this industry behemoth.

Then, a young female client books an appointment to see you with your personal assistant. You take the meeting and she breaks down crying informing you that this behemoth raped her at a recent work event.

Oh shit.

According to the governance document to which you all agreed, there's no ambiguity. This warrants an instant termination. This is a shame, because that employee 'Harvey' brought in 98% of the revenue. Basically your company will have to dissolve over this, which is also a shame because you are up to your eyeballs in debt that could have been paid off had the company simply continued.

And this I think was what should have been addressed in the fallout of the Harvey Weinstein scandal - all the fucking enablers, really, co-conspirators that absolutely failed their duty of care in order to preserve their paycheques. 

My understanding is that the Weinstein company essentially was sold off, acquired otherwise dissolved, but barring Weinstein the harshest consequences for his enablers was the loss of their jobs. 

Not understanding the biz, I tend to think of Hervey as equivalent to a "rainmaker" a top earning salesman, way out of whack though hence the 98%, rather than say 20% on a sales team of 10. 

Late last year I caught up with an old work colleague who said something of interest to me - he had been raised a kind of Marxist, so when our old employer had been acquired and in a more banal way transitioned from being a firm with a purpose for existing, to an asset on a larger companies balance sheet, I saw the writing on the wall and planned my exit, whereas his instinct was to resist.

In some part, the difference in our approaches - mine more fatilistic, his more idealistic, is likely the product of "real talks" I had been given. 

Real talks are depressing. Archetypically, they are necessitated and involve "remember all those stories you were raised on about heroism and happy endings? Well in the real world bullies are in charge, and actually we don't pursue happiness but least misery via keeping our heads down."

This may sound harsh, but if you want advice that is to let bullies bully, I assure you you can find it. I'm reasonabally confident, that this is often the nature of professional advice.

I don't know what went on with Harvey Weinstein's workplace, everything I saw indicated that he was pretty fucken flagrant with his transgressions, and some other staffers even did some clean up.

What I don't picture is a black mass where particularly evil people in black robes and copious amounts of goat blood chanting as young girls were subjected to Harvey in an attempt to bring the Antichrist into the world.

Something far more banal is what I would bet on, and it is the "oh shit my paycheck is financed by a #&$^%ist" and you lose some people, and others just go into a state of living denial where you feel sick to your stomach for all but the 20 minutes  after your pay is deposited into your account every pay period and you tell yourself one day you'll escape via your golden parachute and the rest is all about just pushing those feelings of humanity down in your stomach.

However, this is a defensive posture that simply explains the enablement. 

I've cited Fargo, lets go full TV aficionado and bring up HBOs final season of The Wire greatest television ever made, where McNulty invents a fictitious serial killer praying on the homeless and by the time his fraud is discovered, the Mayor has become governor off of it, the Police chief has become commissioner etc. such that unwittingly they all stand to become embarrassed if the truth outs.

"What's the point of being rich if I can't have sex with 15 year olds?"

I disagree with Socrates, or Plato, insofar as the unexamined life can go beyond worthlessness to actively harmful. 

If you just cruise along with the logic of "Honey I've had a hell of a day I'm going to watch The Brady Bunch until dinner is ready." to "Honey, sure you can divorce me, but you signed a pre-nup and good luck buying a superyacht with $13 million. Or you can accept that when your husband makes $146 million a year, he's going to sleep with prostitutes." to "Honey, I am one of ten people that are as rich as half of this countries population combined. I'm richer than 60 million people! I'm off to an island where I a frankly disgusting looking old man, can have sex with facsimiles of the girls who wouldn't give me a valentines in 7th grade."

I am loath to bring up an idol of mine, who to my knowledge has not appeared in the Epstein files - Brazilian businessman Ricardo Semler, who wrote a book called "the 7 day weekend" in which he postulated a "Da Vinci Constraint" that in the late 2000's he calculated to $13 million dollars. 

Once you have $13 million dollars, there's pretty much nothing more you can buy with money to make your life any better. Now various factors probably mean that today the constraint would be $26 million or so. If you have $26 million dollars, you can charter a Yacht to sail from Pisa to Monaco and wear a tuxedo to play blackjack ala mr bond in the high rollers room of a casino and stay in a penthouse suite in a hotel. You can have a sherpa drag you up and down everest, and do the other 6 summits, you can probably even in 2026, go to space like Katy Perry who I assume is nowhere near a billionaire, or take a fatal trip to the titanic in an experimental submarine, or build your own safe submarine and go to the bottom of the ocean like James Cameron.

But, what you cannot do, whether you have $26 million USD or $1 billion USD, is have sex with someone under age.

I suspect, sadly, this is an educated position. That it is not intuitive.

The intuition is that money = power, where 'power' is the ability to act or do, and that once you have enough money, it stands to reason that you can do whatever you want.

Comedian Arj Barker had a bit where he asked an audience member if they would blow a hobo for $1, then kept upping the number until the audience member admitted they would blow a hobo. His punchline was that for $10 million dollars he would blow a hundred hobos and when the press came to him all like "Arj Arj! you've just blown a hundred hobos and earned $10 million dollars, what will you spend the money on?" He would respond "A mouth transplant."

The bit presumes that the hobos would be somehow into it, otherwise it is basically exactly the question of buying a ticket for the Lolita Express. 

The Epstein "scene" moreso than the Epstein files reveals an implicit question of "how much should a ticket to the island of 'do-as-you-please' cost?" and many fail this question. The correct answer is an island of 'do-as-you-please' cannot be morally countenanced, but alas too many appear to have fallen back on 'well obviously not just anyone can be allowed to go there..."

The importance of asking questions

I believe in my project, because I am not just asking questions. I feel if I asked someone who is not a billionaire, and is not likely to become a billionaire, how much money they need to make to be above the law; there's a decent chance that they may become conscious of something quite counterintuitive - that money isn't everything.

A thought they may otherwise never have had, that while it would be very nice to be rich, the priveleges come in the form of being able to purchase goods and services legally that maybe not everyone can, but that that never extends to gaining access to a Diddy Freak-off, or Epstein Island.

That the point of a billionaire is not to gain access to having your enemies killed by the most powerful military on earth, and that there isn't much point to being a billionaire at all so you may as well pay your fucking taxes.

Conclusion - The 2nd Outrage

Details contained within the Epstein files are outrageous, people read them or a youtuber gives them the gist and are very justified in a response of outrage.

The second outrage though, is one I feel, when ordinary people feel that outrage oblivious that given the opportunity they would have committed the same outrageous acts.

Not through any act of hypocrisy, but ignorance. They don't see it because they've been living an unexamined life. One where they never really thought about how their employer earns a lot of money while providing no real value. Or how proud they are of a business deal they made, that breaks down to just ripping someone off. They don't see it in all the laws they themselves flaunt, or the bullshit things they claim in their tax return, or lying to the hospital and telling them they are feeling 10/10 pain so they get treated faster.

I'm outraged by the unobserved life, it is one of the many things wrong with me. I concede, where others possibly don't, that habit and sensitivity alone can get you along way and very comfortable in life. 

But the downfall is, that these are hacks, not principles to live by, and as such if you gain access to a scene, a circle your sensitivity can easily lead to a new habit of underage sex tourism in the Caribbean.

Friday, February 06, 2026

One Debacle After Another

I feel we are living through a spectacle, and it's important not to underestimate the power of stupidity. Keynes' timeless advice: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent," I feel applies not just potential financial harms, but all harms, including physical.

That said, the rest of this post will be about the spectacle in a rather sanguine way, I will spend little to no time discussing the human impact of watching the wheels fall off the United States.

What is bad?

I won't provide a definitive answer. So let me bluster straight into - something is "bad" because it won't work. It won't accomplish what it set out to do.

I had friends over for dinner last night, and one of them was relating an anecdote about the general publics' ability to form beliefs without reference to facts. A plausible anecdote where somebody whose main concern is immigration is asked why they are concerned about immigration, they say it is too high, asked then how high they think it is, they say something between 20-30% then asked what they think immigration should be they say something like 1-2% and then the punchline is that net immigration is actually within their target range.

Net overseas migration for 2024-2025 was 306k and Australia's 2025 population was roughly 27.6 million which works out to 1.1% so my fact checking works out.

Now, it is bad to blame housing affordability, cost of living, unemployment rates etc. on immigration because cracking down on immigration won't work. Whereas there's an alternative that is potentially good in looking at the Australian tax code that will likely actually solve these issues blamed on immigration.

I fear this definition might be too detailed. Imagine a company that is run by a bunch of incompetent nepo babies. They employ a CFO who is actually good at their job, that CFO brings to the board a long list of issues the company faces. It would be bad for the board to fire the CFO for complaining, and it would be good for the company to promote the CFO to CEO and empower her to address the issues they've raised.

The Bipartisan Overanalyses of Donald J Trump

Trump was always going to be a bad president. One can go back to season 1 of "The Apprentice" and have sufficient data to determine the case. Trump showed up and took less interest in the contest than Jeff Probst does in Survivor. A pattern quickly emerges in the boardroom that Trump makes superficial decisions where basically whoever was that weeks leader for the losing team got fired.

It established a simple pattern of behaviour -  Take on responsibility and fail, get fired. 

I never watched enough of the Apprentice, (after the first season, I would only ever watch Meatloaf lose his shit at Garry Busy before dipping a soccer ball in paint and dropping it on a canvas in a season of "Celebrity Apprentice") to have any expertise. But there are things I can assume never happened - Trump never identified any real business talent, none of the winners ever went on to run or found exceptionally successful businesses, though some may have become celebrities in their own right, trading on their fame.

Survivor gave players a say in who outlasted who, contestants voted and the game quickly became about forming alliances and sub-alliances in the opening minutes of "tribes" forming, then attempting to win the immunity challenges and locate immunity tokens as leverage.

The Apprentice had Trump as the ultimate arbiter of who stayed and who was "fired" from the competition, so, and this is just a guess. The winning strategy was to avoid responsibility, scapegoat and perhaps even sabotage others and then try and win the final challenge.

So before Trump's first term, we had enough data to know that he would be a "bad" president. Even prior to the primaries.

The People are Worthy of Analysis

A thought that was so frustrating, that I may merely have imagined it happening, were people who, however they felt about Trump, assumed he was "tapping into something" to explain his success in the primaries and then at the polls.

The phrase "tap into something" implies, that the tapper is not at base, identical to the something they tap into. 

I do think it is fair to say that the Democratic Party, did not tap into something, which was the peri-Obama call for change. The Democratic Party did, has, and may well continue to act as an institution that would sooner perish than respond to the voter base with meaningful change.

Whereas, my feeling is, that Trump has been frustrated as a president with his inability to just do whatever he wants as and how it makes sense to him. In this sense, I think he is identical with his base that do not think he is a bad president.

With growing wealth inequality, unfolding climate catastrophy and social alienation, there are plenty of actual reasons to be frustrated with any status quo "steady as she goes" government agenda.

But I believe that frustration is compounded if you believe that the President is some kind of absolute monarch that could wave a hand and address these serious issues, but for some reason chooses not to.

That is a "naive" presumption of the office of president, or leader of any country. I feel there's plenty of evidence that voters in a country like Australia don't fathom that the central bank independently sets interest rates. As such, if you are frsutrated by rising interest rates on your debt, you can exacerbate such frustrations by believing that the government of the day could simply order that they be lower but chooses not to.

Obama was certainly guilty of "tapping into something" and I would say cynically employed slogans like "Hope" and "Change we can believe in" that implies radical reforms but really promise and commit to nothing.

What's more believable "radical" or "modest" change? What's the difference between "hope" and "victory"?

Trump on the other hand, did not tap into anything, he got up and rambled not because he has insight into a know-nothing uncle, but because he is a know-nothing uncle.

Historically, a presidential candidate is somebody who is incredibly indebted and beholden to their party, donors, family and media with one of the least important contributors to their success being the people.

They are incredibly compromised individuals who then must compromise.

It is true that the President of the United States has been for approaching a century, truly the most powerful person on earth, but it is naive to think that translates to "all powerful" and mature to understand that means "relatively powerful."

The worthwhile analyses, need to be directed into how much or little the electoral base understand the scope, function, role, powers and limits of government and its various offices. There is a lot to suggest that in a largely disengaged voting base, too many people appear to believe a head of state could do whatever they want, but chooses not to.

The Most Complicated Aspect of Trump

Is the circumstances by which the national broadcasting corporation (NBC) cast Donald Trump on "The Apprentice."

The production needed an intersection of traits - they needed someone who could pass as a successful businessman, who was not busy running a successful business. 

To finally mention Lebron James in this post, it is my experience that very few people ask questions like "why is a 41 year old billionaire still playing basketball?" a question that requires pausing for a moment and occupying a perspective that is not that of the 8.2 Billion plus people on Earth who do not have a billion US dollars in net assets. 

Similarly, why would somebody who is a billionaire host a TV gameshow? Parking a billion dollars in an ordinary savings account might conservatively earn a modest 3%, A billion is a thousand millions, so 3% is 30 million dollars a year, doing nothing whereas Trump earned roughly 15 million per season on the Apprentice.

Did NBC approach other famous Billionaire successful businessmen - Warren Buffet, George Soros, Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Michael Wozniak, Jeff Bezos, Steve Balmer and Trump just tested the best?

I am guessing not. Trump fit the very specific criteria of somebody rich with nothing better to do than host a gameshow. 

Giving us the single hardest piece of the Trump pie to analyse - Donald Trump, unsuccessful businessman was hired by NBC to play Donald Trump, successful businessman. Basically inviting confusion between actor and the role they played.

The Easiest thing to Analyse

Trump is stupid, people (have) laud(ed) his energy with respect to his age, his ability to fly from rally to rally and speak on his feet for hours.

Conversely, youtube Destiny has a standing challenge - find a single clip, from all the media that has been focused on Donald Trump for an entire decade and counting, where anyone would say "woah, that guy knows what he's talking about."

To be clear, I don't know what stupid is, but Trump doesn't come close to smart in terms of his ability to access relevant knowledge and make a cogent case for anything, ever. Even to the extent of making statements about his own intentions that have any predictive value. 

An Impossible thing to Analyse and it's workaround

Trump is likely some kind of narcissist. There are good reasons for good rules that make it impossible to formally diagnose Trump with narcissism, anti-social pd, sociopathy or whatever. It's politically unworkable, too easily weaponised and we'd just bring about a world where all political candidates had qualified psychologists willing to testify that they are definitely narcissists and also that they definitely aren't narcissists.

I'm persuaded it should remain the case, that only a candidate who submits themselves to treatment and obtains a diagnosis that they then disclose is the way to determine whether a candidate is a narcissist.

But we can use the diagnostic criteria from the DSM-IV in particular and DSM-V and then see how good it is at predicting Trumps behaviour.

It's pretty good. And this I think has become a lazy shorthand, for professionals who do know better, as more or less just saying that Trump is a narcissist.

I feel that's the way to bet. It is for example, the simplest explanation as to why Trump spent a whole news cycle denying that he called Apple CEO Tim Cook "Tim Apple" claiming that he called him "TimCookofApple" and it offers the simplest explanation as to why a visual display of Hurricane Dorian was altered with a Sharpie to look like it would impact the state of Alabama, rather than Trump simply admit he made a mistake by including Alabama in a tweet.

It also simply explains and predicts why in 2020-present Trump cannot concede that he lost the 2020 election, and bullshit raids continue.

Trump Rules

These are rules that at a minimum must be followed to work in or for the Trump administration and are accurate enough to suggest pushing further is overanalysis:

  1. Trump is never wrong
  2. Trump never fails
  3. Trump never loses
  4. Trump is never at fault
However, it is important to note that these rules refer to the officially stated position, they cannot withstand any kind of empirical enquiry. 

I have partial sympathy for those who hitched their wagon to the Trump machine in his first term and before. As late as 2016, it was likely a mistake of mediocrity to successfully identify that Trump was an idiot, but to feel you would be valued as a puppet master, a royal vizeir, that you could use the Trump phenomenon that was ultimately vacuous, to inhabit it with your own agenda. 

We saw this from a range of actors that had their moments on the stage - the sinister like Steve Bannon and warhawk John Bolton, to the more benign like Anthony Scaramucci and General John Kelly. 

It transpires that of the first term staff, the one who clocked the above rules earliest and most prominently was Steven Miller, a willingness to go along with whatever bullshit stupidity Trump came up with.

By 2020, let alone 2024 there is no grace for betting on this loser. A vote for Kamala carried with it the chance that the next 4 years would be modestly bad, far better odds than re-electing a proven loser.

The above rules, I cannot overemphasize are pretty much exactly how you need to construct an organization to guarantee catastrophic failure. Let me do a quick substitution to make them applicable across all of time and space:

  1. A loser is never wrong.
  2. A loser never fails.
  3. A loser never loses.
  4. A loser is never at fault.
These rules can now be used to identify a losing bet. Contemporary academics looking at martial strategy and philosophy may have converged and coalesced around well articulated concepts like "mindset" but there are antecedents going back to Socratic dialogues, particularly where Socrates asks Euthyphro "would God command us to not do wrong actions because they are wrong, or would wrong actions be wrong because God commands us to not do them?"

I find this is better explained by example. You think God (or Trump) is good, God appears to you and commands you to have sex with minors. Many cannot appreciate this dilemma. Probably the best option for a believer is to declare "God would never do that, what a ridiculous scenario, you are ridiculous. This is ridiculous, no further questions."

But if you have the mature capacity to entertain such a scenario, you are presented with a dilemma. Either you go with God's change in mood, in which case there is no reason anything is bad or good, there's no arguing why one should or should not have sex with minors, we just do whatever God wishes because God is powerful. (postmodernism) 

Or you would have to say "God can't command that..." because, goodness and badness are determined independent of God's preferences, God becomes falliable, and so even if you reject the scenario as impossible, you are tacitly admitting that God is not the arbiter but himself, beholden to a morality that exists outside and independent of his will.

Getting back to Trump, and in particular the organisation that is the US state, you can apply the rules to say that job losses, rising cost of living, increasing trade deficits, contracting share market, widespread loss of health care access etc. somehow constitute a "golden age" but alas, eventually the real world effects of impoverishing a nation and diminishing its standing in the world will catch up to you.

I think its already caught up

The spectacle we are living through, is an endgame, possibly an epilogue. 

January was basically Ur-fascist Gish gallop. Gish gallop is a debate tactic where instead of arguing a strong case, you spew out hundreds of shitty weak arguments making it impossible for your opponent to address and rebut the sheer volume of fallacious claims.

eg. Instead of saying "Because capital punishment has never historically delivered a deterrence or cost benefits is not to say that it cannot become a cost effective deterrent to violent crime." you say "Saudiarabiakillsdrugdealersandtraffickersandnowtheyhavenodrugsalsopeoplechoosenottobehomosexualortranswhensuchlifestylechoicesarepunishablebydeaththedrugsusedinlethalinjectioncostjustafewdollarsandchinashootspeoplesotheirdeathpenaltyisevencheapernobodyexecutedbythestatehaseverproovedtheydidntcommitthecrimeforwhichtheyvebeensentancedandthebiblecommandsustokillunbelieversandnotsufferwitchestolivebyallowingwitchestoliveandpracticetheirdarkartsevengoodwitchesareguiltyofrapebyconcoctinglovepotionsthatifbydefinitiontheymakesomeonefallinlovewithsomeonetheywouldnothaveotherwisethenitsrapeandrapewouldendtomorrowifpunishedbydeathpollsshow99.99percentofthegeneralpublicsupportcapitalpunishmentandfmriscansindicatethatevenbabiesasyoungassixmonthsoldsupportcapitalpunishment."

That's gishgallop, and abducting the Venezualan President, threatening to annex Greenland, inaugurating a "Board of Peace", threatening tarriffs, making staff changes in DHS, even the release of the Melania documentary are all gishgallop for an administration that is underwater due to its complete systemic incompetence. Incompetence that stem from the loser-rules. 

The outcomes for many, I'm sure are already tragic. Individuals beyond those killed by ICE no doubt have already suffered immensely, with numerous Trump insiders already having been jailed, bankrupted etc before the second term even began.

There is however a massive educational opportunity to be missed - which is to put into living memory the knowledge that narcissists simply cannot perform. 

I don't believe in moral progress, but I do feel that in the latter half of the 20th century, Fascism was completely unviable because there were too many people that knew the result of the experiment. It likely made a comeback because too many 20th century people died off, and as per Umberto Eco's Ur-Fascism, its a very naive, very intuitive doctrine that likely will keep being reinvented.

Similarly, I meet successful business people that have learned to spot narcissism and avoid it. But it is a very inefficient process where each person basically needs to be scammed or burned once by a narcissist to learn that talk is cheap and grow leery of confidence. 

Here we have this well publicised example, falling apart on the world stage. It is my hope that we produce a generation of people who have learned to recognize what successful business people eventually learn to spot the hard way: Narcissists do not perform.