News Cycle Cranky Tired
Tantrum
I feel like I'm writing this post for the dozenth time, it is a wholly reactionary post to an irritant, that has been irritating me for over a decade.
It is the unfounded journalistic approach that functions as this irritant. Meaning that content gets continually generated that has no premises.
What irritates me are journalists or commentators that begin with a premise that what they are looking at, for example, is a functional democracy and then like bad pantomime actors they shrug and ask the children "where is he?" and I feel not like a child, but an old man driven to the point of screaming "behind you fucking behind you you fucking morons you skipped the part where you determine if you have a functional democracy or a dysfunctional democracy, you started in the wrong fucking place!"
Whosoever figured out the way to advertise casual mobile phone games, is to run an ad where a moron plays it badly while you spectate is a genius. I haven't bought a game where I have to figure out if 14 is a higher number than 12, but I'm certainly tempted to everytime I watch someone play it as if they think there's a chance 12 might be bigger than 14.
Not so with watching journalists who cannot figure out after 12 years or so, that Trump is exactly who he fucking appears to be. And my fatigue has tipped over to the point where I will fly into a rage at the Spanish backpackers who turn the dorm lights on at 2am and chat with lisps while they make up their beds.
3D Chessboxin'
I haven't listened to "The Glenn Show" in maybe years, a podcast that mostly to the brink of entirely consists of commentary on the news cycle by Brown Professor of Economics (Neoclassical/Orthodox/Mainstream Econ.) Glenn Lowry and Stanford Professor of Linguistics John McWhorter. Glenn is a conservative in the US terms, but not a radically insane postmodern totalitarian as most Republican talking heads present themselves, it's more that he will demand that Chief Justice Clarence Thomas of the Supreme Court be respected and shit like that. John McWhorter is I would say, nominally a democrat, certainly would unambiguously have been described as left-wing right up to about 2014 though spends most of his podcast time (which is considerable) criticizing the largesse and overreach of identity politics, he is one of the only people ever that Ta Nehisi Coates engaged with and responded to as a critic of his work.
Glenn and John were two helpful sense-making intellectuals for me who puts no stock in argumentum ad populum and when the collection of memes now ambiguously referred to under the umbrella term "woke" that back in 2015 I was discretely experiencing in my social media app facebook in the specific memes of 'trigger warnings' and in particular 'call out culture' but you know, obviously we had a wild ride through a bunch more discrete memes for around a decade.
I stopped listening a few years ago not because Glenn and John crossed some line that discredited them in my eyes, but more in the same sense as when a sporting contest is 3/4 of the way through and the lead is insurmountable and you switch off but the commentators can't leave their booth.
I don't think woke is 'dead as disco' likely more as dead as rockabilly or ska or glam rock. It is in my impression consigned to cultural cul de sacs with the moment that it might go plausibly mainstream passed.
But a few evenings ago during a gym session I checked back in with Glenn and John where they were debating the extent to which President Trump's 'personality' mattered, with John diagnosing him as an 'asshole' and to finally get to the subject of this post - Glenn's incredulity that Trump could be exactly what he appears to be. Often referred to by commentators, since the George W. Bush administration and possibly going back to Reagan (I'm not old enough) as the "3-dimensional chess" position which is worth I feel, articulating a bit.
As far as I can tell, "3-dimensional chess" is a Star Trek reference, where Gene Rodenberry and his writers sold the idea of a post-scarcity future with space faring homo sapiens by having the military elite play a form of super-chess, expanded by a dimension and realised in a prop that looks like chintzy 70s shelving.
I would attempt to do justice to the belief position while not being an adherent myself, as saying advocates for 3-dimensional chess make a form of argument from personal incredulity, a position as indisputably important as president must be correspondingly too difficult or complicated for an incompetent person to get near, it can only be occupied by what we might term an 'elite' with respect to cognitive performance, someone of sufficient intelligence, literacy, emotional regulation and personal self-discipline to occupy at the least the top 5% of the population in cognitive function.
But then you get characters like Trump, Bush, Truss, Musk, Milei etc. that as Bill Burr puts it "blunder into coffee tables" seemingly constantly producing sets of data that can be easily explained by stupidity. Which is impossible by the first premise of 3-dimensional chess, which is that the positions are too difficult for a fucking moron to occupy. So it gets reconciled with a multiplying of causes - the populace is generally, wary of 'elites' if you come across as too educated, too articulate, too privileged than you alienate yourself as a candidate from the electorate, as such the populist adopts a complicated double-bluff, hiding their elite cognitive capacities behind performative oafishness.
They don't communicate in simplistic ways because they are themselves too stupid to understand complicated nuance and second order effects, but because they are 'tapping in' to the stupidity of their voter base. It is essentially just a humanistic version of answering the philosophical refutation of an All-loving God by pointing to unnecessary suffering readily observable in the world like animals that die in wildfires and children who get leukemia referred to as 'the problem of evil' (though this begs the existence of evil into the question) for which the refutation is 'god works in mysterious ways' presuming that the seeming unnecessary suffering is just a matter of our ignorance of some greater good god's cooking up.
In the same way, people waiting for George W Bush to reveal his true intention for the massive cock up that was the 2nd Gulf War will go to their graves waiting for the missing piece of information that explains why it was all a calculated good idea.
But for someone of Glenn's vintage and accomplishment, waiting for Trump to make clear that he has any fucking idea what he is doing, is in my view, incredible. I struggle with my credulity in regard to Glenn's incredulity.
And it isn't just Glenn, I listen to James O'Brian on LBC on the regular. A British journalist, O'Brian is known for going hard against Brexit and history has proved him right, but I think that as I'm writing King Charles the whatever is still in the US having just completed his meeting with Trump. News in the UK covered by O'Brian is that Trump made a public announcement that King Charles agrees with him on Iran, something that would certainly be *news* to the subjects of the UK.
King Chuckles' press office released a statement that was classic English double-speak, the way in which "your proposal is very interesting" is polite for "no fucking way" in British. Something like "As is well known the King has long opposed the threat of nuclear proliferation." A face-saving masterclass in how to say "no he fucking doesn't agree, the US president is a fucking liar" while appearing to say the opposite.
O'Brian claims outwardly that he has given up on trying to make sense of the US President's actions, even advocated the liberation sensed, when one gives up on the endeavour of trying to predict what Trump will do. Yet, and maybe just because it's his job as DJ of a call-in show, like Glenn continues to express incredulity, shock, and to question what Trump is thinking, when in the most recent example Trump posted a generated image of himself with sunglasses and a machine gun with the caption "no more mister nice guy"
Marx was right
'He may look like an idiot and talk like an idiot but don't let that fool you. He really is an idiot.' ~ Groucho Marx
Sarah Paine's Framework
Sarah Paine is a retired professor of something that does these long Q&A sessions with Polish people who invite her out and put her talks up on Youtube.
I find her analysis persuasive that in general the historical moment we are going through is probably best attributed to the tax-code and that western democracies in particular is having a crisis that threatens regression to a more pre-20th century world because our politicians are purely operational, not strategic. If that is a fair representation of her opinions.
Sarah Paine tries to give us, as in plebs like you and me, tools by which to think about the world, the one I've seen her offer is strategic-operational-tactical.
From the bottom up, tactical might be Seal Team 6 on a stealth helicopter. A tactic that enables a targeted strike on a specific human target like a leader of Al Kaeda or Venezuala.
Operational might be the abduction of the Venezualan president, it's a big military operation that Sarah Paine describes, I think not unfairly, as perhaps the most successful military operation of all time.
Strategic is ??? we don't know what the fuck Trump was thinking when he ordered US Military forces to go nab the President of Venezuala. Speculation runs from he just wants the oil, to Maduro's dancing offended him. It is more ambiguous than W. Bush's war on Iraq where most people assumed it was about oil but could have been about daddy issues. Because US oil companies turned out to not be too keen on investing in Venezuala.
And you might see 3-dimensional chess cropping up already in this example, not by Sarah Paine herself who posits more plausibly that the strategic component of kidnapping Maduro is unknown likely because it is non-existent, but journalists who posit that there must be a strategy not only to the Venezuala thing, but to the Greenland thing and the Iran thing and possibly Cuba.
Even if it is speculated to be a bad strategy, people are drawing on the precedent of past presidents and world leaders going back to fucking Hammurabi of Babylonia and miring themselves in the presumption that there must be a cogent reason for all of this.
Trump doesn't frustrate me, he doesn't confuse me, and though alien I don't find him that mysterious. I find him an extremely useful thing to point to when looking for examples of stupidity and incompetence, but otherwise quite boring, like crypto is boring, "AI" is boring, Hitler is boring.
The Strategic Imperative of the Trump Administration
Trump's vision that he is dedicated to realizing, is a world in which everyone agrees how awesome he is. Everywhere he goes, without fail, people realize that he's just the fucking best. Historians will arrive at the consensus that he is the greatest President ever.
That is the vision behind every single action the Trump administration takes. That's what they are operationally and tactically geared up to try and achieve.
Can they do it? No. It's doomed to fail. The leading candidates for greatest President in the history of the United States are George Washington, Abraham Lincoln and Franklin Delano Roosevelt, and I know that all three of these beloved and venerated Presidents have detractors, that they are controversial.
Certainly if you got a unanimous consensus that any one person was unambiguously great, you would probably by default achieve the status of "Greatest President ever" but the fact is Trump has never been close to even being popular.
But this I feel, is the strategic driver that makes sense of absolutely everything Trump does. There's no maps with pieces being moved around by generals envisioning a new world order. There's a juvenile fantasy of being crowned prom queen and FIFA officials seem to understand this better than serious journalists like James O'Brian and esteemed social scientists like Glenn Lowry and I'm tired to the point of cranky that such intellects can't seem to get out of their own fucking way.
Let's dig down.
The Many Operations of the Trump Administration
If your strategic imperative is to have everyone agree how awesome Trump is, then there's going to be two broad families of operations to run:
- Get people praising the president.
- Stop people praising anyone else.
- Break shit any other president did, especially Biden and Obama.
- Try and create a 51st state. eg. Greenland, Canada.
- Try and quickly resolve long standing geopolitical impasses - Venezuala, Iran, Cuba.
- Censor and cancel critics.
- Build monuments.
- Fire administration officials who get more attention than the president.
- Go after people who criticise Trump.
Apparently early on it was a matter of some debate whether a good Christian earned their place in heaven through works, which is to say doing good deeds and being a disciple of Christ (in the sense of disciple = following the discipline of) or if one earned their place in heaven through faith, that is believing simply that Christ was/is lord.
For the latter argument, it is to this day, pointed out that that was kind of the whole point of the, to-me, nonsensical story of Jesus dying on the cross and being resurrected and dancing around before going up to heaven before leading an army to hell to bust out all the pagans that would have been christian but unfortunately were born before christ was or some shit.
I suspect that these factions - does salvation come from works, or does it come from faith, probably reflect broad variations in human personalities. Some people are universal, and hence believe in some kind of universal ethic yardstick by which to evaluate their fellow people, and other people are tribal, they have double standards, specifically are you 'us' or are you 'them.'
The Republican party I feel, as judged by their actions and function, have no organizing principle beyond membership. Membership entails dogmatic loyalty to the party, and if the party winds up being lead by Trump, then the party has to rally around him.
“There are two kinds of patriotism -- monarchical patriotism and republican patriotism. In the one case the government and the king may rightfully furnish you their notions of patriotism; in the other, neither the government nor the entire nation is privileged to dictate to any individual what the form of his patriotism shall be. The gospel of the monarchical patriotism is: "The King can do no wrong." We have adopted it with all its servility, with an unimportant change in the wording: "Our country, right or wrong!" We have thrown away the most valuable asset we had:-- the individual's right to oppose both flag and country when he (just he, by himself) believed them to be in the wrong. We have thrown it away; and with it all that was really respectable about that grotesque and laughable word, Patriotism.” ~ Mark Twain.
This is why the Republican Party cannot do anything about Trump to save itself, but double, treble and quadruple down. The organising principle of the Republican party makes it predictable that Mitch McConnell will refuse to hear testimony and consider evidence to realise his impeachment for his involvement in the Jan 6th insurection, and why J.D. Vance won't take steps to declare the president unfit for duty anytime soon. The Republican party doesn't stand for anything other than the Republican party, and it is no coincidence that it represents the factions of christianity, that don't necessarily map to any sects that hold nothing necessary for salvation beyond membership - which is to say, simply believing that christ is the tits.
The Democrats Are Neither a New Hope, Nor a Good Hope.
Trump is a loser, because of that fact, he can be succinctly analysed as 'the loser's president' and if the Democrats want to enter a post-Trumpian era, what they needed to do, from pretty much 2008 is stop creating losers.
Unfortunately, the main organising principle of the Democratic Party institution, as far as I can see, is to preserve and extend neoliberalism, the "third way" pioneered by Clinton and Blair that saw left wing parties adopt virtually identical economic policy to the right wing parties of the 80s. Globalising, Privatising, Deregulating and whatever else.
They are Homer, still holding onto the cans in the vending machine. Unfortunately, there are likely compelling reasons to do so, and it is something that echoes throughout democracies around the world that Sarah Paine articulates under her own framework as politicians being purely operational - they have no strategy just re-election.
We got a stark example recently in the UK Labour Party's 2024 Ming Vase landslide. Where the strategy is to have no strategy lest it offend, give your opponents no ideas to criticize etc.
In the US however, we can see since at least the Hillary-Bernie primary race as manifest in the votes of the super-delegates, and likely going back as far as the Obama-Hillary primary race, that the Democrats are institutionally resistant to calls for change from the voter base. It's a diversion, but likely important to point out that Barack Obama delivered 'hope' itself, a very easy thing, vast numbers of people got to hope that things would be different based on the colour of his skin and not the content of his character. At the time I was painfully aware that Barack Obama was not Chuck D of Public Enemy. He didn't strike me as even a black JFK or RFK Sr.
He was very likely a product of a filtration process:
Andrew Marr: How can you know that I'm self censoring?
Noam Chimpsky: I'm sure that you're not self censoring, I'm sure you believe everything you are saying. What I'm saying is if you believed something different you wouldn't be sitting where you're sitting. ~ Concluding statements of above linked interview, emphasis mine.
The compelling reason that the Democrats are the lesser evil compared to the Republican party, is in part that they have this filtration process that prevents characters like Trump from becoming president. Unfortunately, that same filter keeps characters like Bernie, AOC or Mamdani from becoming president, it is a mediocritizing risk-averse filter.
We Are All Iranians Now
If a nation state does not have a democracy, in my view it is basically a gang territory, or a Mafia state. When Trump effectively broke the global economy by going in on operation "Epic Bullshit" on the fumes of hope that by toppling a long standing awful regime quickly and simply (why didn't anyone else think of that?) it would realise the strategic vision of everyone talking about how awesome and great Trump is; early journalists prefaced their words by making clear that where they were about to criticize Trump's prosecution of whatever the fuck this war is - that this didn't make them pro-the Iranian regime or admiring of the atomised former Ayatollah.
If you want to think that I am pro-a fundamentalist theocratic regime that among all its features includes a literal morality police to police morality on the off chance that the creator of the universe has any more clout as to how people should live as a regular consumer can define the cannon of books to put on a bookshelf from Ikea they allen keyed together and that this clout laden creator delivered their moral code to some guy over a millenia ago so well that when that guy died his followers immediately splintered into sects, go right ahead.
What I mean by 'we are all Iranian's now' is that we all have to process the data we have into information and subsequent knowledge, as the Iranian regime appears to understand.
The data being that after negotiating a nuclear non-proliferation deal with the United States at the United States behest, the United States citizens may elect a leader who will unilaterally tear that negotiation up, making a deal with the United States near worthless. Furthermore, that the United States citizenry may just elect a leader who will unilaterally take military action without congressional approval or public debate. In this sense, what Iran knows and we collectively have no excuse not to know, is that the United States is an existential threat.
The specific nature of that existential threat, is that US' voting citizens behave in a juvenile manner. In transit to Mexico a friend of mine took me to a friend of theirs house, and I recall trying to explain the myopia (which Australian voters share) of self-indulgently voting in a buffoon because you like them, but that buffoon is who you are sending to represent you on a global stage and they will go up against serious people.
This myopia is while not literally, but symptomatically a reason democracies going all the way back to ancient Athens and possibly excluding Pirate ships (where cabin boys likely got a vote, but being a pirate ship, likely a very informed vote) have had minimum voting ages. It cannot be the historical reason, but we can contemporarily understand that 12 year old's could vote for Mr. Beast if given the opportunity. And people advocating for lowering voting ages today are likely highly biased in their selection, thinking that young people are all into Greta Thunberg (who I feel, would be a terrible political leader, anyway) and not overwhelmingly into Mr. Beast, or the Minecraft Movie, or K-Pop Demon Hunters.
This is one of those areas where an entities character isn't up to date. Just like if your husband cheats on you by having a secret sexual encounter with another person that comes to light, your husband's status as a 'cheater' is not a matter of self-identification, and so it is not a matter up for debate, "you don't understand, I felt really powerful emotions that this was somehow the right way to handle things and thus is not an immoral or incompetent act but something really that commends me as an incredibly special person who seized the opportunity to be special." is not an argument that you are not a cheater for the act of infidelity that defines cheating.
In the same way, a TV gameshow show host, with a string of failed business ventures including a casino, whose policy centrepiece was to build a wall across the southern united states boarder that Mexico was going to pay for, who announced their presidential candidacy by riding down an escalator, and who has visible fake-tan on his face with 'raccoon eyes' in the negative space, and cannot wear a tie - is not a serious candidate. There was sufficient evidence from the outset that Trump was not a serious person worthy of serious consideration for your vote. In his case, in particular, there's simply no basis for any 3d chess debate. As Matt Dillahunty says "absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, but absence of evidence where evidence would be expected is." or something, and there's an absence of expected evidence everywhere we would look for evidence of Trump's competence.
But the key thing, is that it is actually the US voting citizens that cannot be trusted, that are an existential threat because they are not taking their votes seriously. There is likely a complicated overdetermined reason for this, that can be boiled down to failures of education, and in this the US citizen is not isolated, citizens and subjects of democracies throughout the Americas, Europe, Asia and the specific have fans of Donald Trump who would have voted for him if they could, and have voted for his franchisees.
The US Number One Strategic Weakness
Prior to Russia's 24th February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the world had been under the impression that Russia was a military power, like a serious military power. It remains a Nuclear power, of course, but much as the world was caught off-guard by its invasion in the first place, the world was then caught off-guard by what a shambles the Russian military was and how ineffective it was at annexing the Ukraine.
This should not have been surprising in and of itself really, given how difficult it is for a military power like the US to occupy countries like Viet Nam, Iraq and Afghanistan. But Russia couldn't even do the part that the US military is generally recognised at being good at - which is the initial incursion and breaking of a states main military resistance.
I'm not a Russianologist, I have no expertise whatsoever on historicity or geopolitics, but I feel confident in asserting that one powerful explanatory factor for Russia getting bogged down in what is now a 4+ year war that was projected to be an overnight seizure, is that Russia has this major strategic weakness: Putin can't fail.
I saw op-eds speculating that Russia's military had become a culture of 'yes-men' one survived and advanced by telling Putin whatever he wanted to hear. And the Russian military fish had perhaps rotted from the head, leaders taking Putin's example to lie and steal from the military machine.
Beyond that, I don't have the means to understand what the fuck is going on over in Ukraine, like China, Russia is a subject that attracts content farming on Youtube where every day there's a story about Russia's imminent collapse and I have learned not to trust them at all, as one does when an imminent collapse fails to collapse for 4 years.
Where I will put my confidence, is in an opinion of martial philosophy, that may be controversial but I am convinced, that the numero uno, biggest strategic liability is being unable to fail. And Trump cannot fail.
I appreciate how more literally minded persons might be like "but if you can't fail that means you can only succeed" which would be true, if we were talking about reality and not language:
Once there was a parrot who knew only one word: “victory.” Yes, sir, the days came and went, and on one of those days when our poor parrot was sitting on his perch without a care in the world, a hawk set his eye on him and swept him away through God’s air. The poor green thing clutched in the hawk’s claws began to complain, but he couldn’t say a thing except the one word he knew by heart. Each peck the hawk gave drew forth a cry of “victory.” A peck, a “victory,” another peck, another “victoryds.” The whole while he was being pecked to pieces, he kept saying “victory.”
—JOSE JOAQUIN FERNANDEZ DE LIZARDI, “The Parrot’s Victory,” El Pensador Mexicano, October. 11, 1823
Trump can't fail, he can only succeed. The strait of Hormuz gets blocked? Huge success. A girls school gets bombed? Another victory. NATO allies refuse to send military aid? Trump for the win. Ultimatums increasingly ring hollow? You'll win so much you'll get tired of winning.
In Monty Python's The Holy Grail, the Black Knight could have called it quits when he lost an arm, instead after losing two arms and a leg he starts hop-headbutting King Arthur who is then forced to reluctantly cut off his remaining leg.
When the Black Knight describes his injuries as "just a flesh wound" that partial admission of failure renders the Black Knight as less of a strategic liability than Donald J. "Nothing bad can happen, it can only good happen" Trump. A man who cannot concede, and could not concede that he lost the 2020 US election.
"Novacaine" legacy artist Jack Quaid's Comedy Action movie's central conceit is an unlikely action hero who has a genetic condition where his nervous system doesn't register pain signals. When we meet his character, he can't eat solid foods because he may not notice biting off his own tongue and is at high risk of bleeding to death simply through a lack of feedback.
Though the movie shows us a fairly unique circumstance where this translates into a kind of superpower, an inability to feel pain is counterintuitively a very debilitating condition that renders a person extremely fragile, not extremely resilient. This is a person who can lean on a hot stove, and won't notice until they smell burning flesh that they have inflicted 2nd or 3rd degree burns on their hand.
But in the ability to smell burning flesh and act upon it, such a character is less of a strategic liability than Donald J. "Nothing bad can happen, it can only good happen" Trump.
You do not want to go to war, with a person beside you for whom forgetting their helmet, forgetting their gun, forgetting their food, shitting their pants, pissing their pants, tripping over and breaking their teeth, alerting the enemy to your position, failing to surrender, suffering severe injuries, getting taken prisoner, getting subjected to torture, starvation and humiliation, giving up military secrets, having wounds get infected etc. are all medal worthy military victories.
The only ambiguity as to the relative military strategic strengths v weaknesses of Iran and the US, are whether the Iranian regime also is unable to fail and can only succeed. But they certainly seem more competent than the commander in chief at the moment.
And lastly, this is a broadly understood martial principle learned from history and martial philosophy, not a brilliant insight or "predictive history" as "Professor" Jiang might milk having predicted something quite obvious - that the US and Isreal might go to war with Iran.
I'll use Mr Jiang as a segue into hopefully my last section of this post, which is to do with the impotence of language. I stumbled upon "Professor Jiang Clips" Youtube channel a few months ago and it had been on my list to discuss. He immediately reminded me of Jordan Peterson, and like Jordan Peterson or Slavoj Zizek, Jiang is a producer of interesting ideas that could be dangerous if taken seriously, by which I mean authoratatively.
Jiang's choice of identifying himself as a "Professor" is, no racism intended, the immediate yellow-flag. Watch enough of his 'classes' and it becomes clear that he is addressing perhaps as many as 6 highschool students, whereas with JP it was obvious he was delivering actual lectures to actual university students and in a sizeable fashion in Toronto when he first uploaded his psychology lectures to Youtube. The voices also sound young, and a quick google you discover that Jiang is a highschool teacher at a private highschool in China.
Whether intentionally or not, he is exploiting an ignorance in the Anglosphere, (with English being the language he delivers his content in) that other cultures use titles that are quite impressive in Anglo-Academia to describe people with lesser and even no qualifications. For example in Brazil and Italy, anyone with a tertiary degree earns the title of 'Doctor', in Mexico anyone who teaches anyone anything with or without qualifications, is a 'Master' or 'Maestro', in Peru highschool teachers are referred to by students as 'Professors' and in Australia a PhD holder delivering lectures to students as a tenured Professor of the Economics Faculty is referred to as "Gary" by his students, because that is his name.
Postmodernism, or poststructuralism in terms of the generalisable lay nature in which it is understood - that reality is structured by power - deserves its due.
In the small picture and small run, social animals like, and possibly exclusively, humans can make reality a kind of coerced performance. Like a bank can use its power to conceal from us the financial situation of a person, that allows them to perform as though they are solvent wearing nice suits, driving nice cars, buying meals prepared for them etc. when the reality is they are bankrupt and had we known this we never would have given them our money.
We all know, this happens some times, in some situations. We tell stories and people behave as though they are true.
I just feel, that there are limits to "postmodernism" as I've described. It is remarkably inefficient for one, and energy intensive.
Furthermore, there is much that narratives simply cannot achieve. Physical, or natural phenomena are largely uncontroversial. I recently watched one of Angela Collier video titled "Physicists don't know how planes work" and I ran into a problem with my own typographical preferences because the title of that video is quoting some anonymous person's(') dumb take, in which Angela repeats many times that "air go down plane go up" is a perfectly valid explanation of how planes work, as valid as 'road goes back car goes forward' for how cars work (or walking or running for that matter) and I think about this as regards the limits of postmodernism.
The only story you can tell to make a car fly, is a story where you call an aeroplane or a helicopter a car, and I hope you can agree, that the usefulness of this deconstruction of language is pretty fucking low.
In a moment of prescient transphobia, Abraham Lincoln was (likely apocryphally) attributed the following anecdote:
When consulting with his generals, Abraham Lincoln asked the assembled commanders "How many legs does a dog have, supposing we call the tail a leg?" and the generals took the bait and said "five" to which Abe said "The answer's four, calling a tail a leg don't make it so."
Now I've been given no reason to believe this anecdote ever actually happened, and we cannot know Abe's position on trans rights. He fought to preserve the union and emancipate his fellow men from the condition of slavery, but I wouldn't be confident saying Abe was definitely not a racist.
But the anecdote itself is not a portrait of postmodern leadership. Characters like Trump, Putin, Kim Jong Un and many dead tyrants before them are postmodern in style.
Here is another quoting of Yale Professor of History Timothy Snyder yet again:
We know, because this is something that people have theorized about since the Enlightenment, that in order for there to be a democracy there has to be something between you and me and our fellow citizens, something between you and me and our leaders, which is: a factual world. We have to have this thing called the public sphere where you and I and our fellow citizens and our leaders agree that there are certain realities out there, and that from those realities we draw our own conclusions, our own evaluative conclusions about what would be better or worse, but we agree that the world is out there. And that it's important for you and I, as citizens, to formulate projects, but it's also important in moments of difficulty for you and I, as citizens, to resist our leaders. Because if we're going to resist our leaders we have to say, "On the basis of this set of facts, this is the state of affairs; it's intolerable; therefore we resist." If there are no facts we can't resist, it becomes impossible.
So there are a couple of centuries of Democratic theory which make that argument in one form or another. That's an old argument. And what follows from that is that if you want to build an authoritarian regime you try to make that factual world less salient, you try to make the world less about the facts that are between you and me and more about the emotions that will either divide us or bring us together, it doesn't really matter which.
I think if you have a decade long lesson in the importance of free speech and the consequences of abandoning it, and you are now in year 11 of that lesson, you fail. I think that's a fact.
Michael Shermer is not a towering Colossus of intellect but he hosts a podcast where he diligently interviews people who have written non-fiction books, including many historians and political scientists. For the decade long lesson in free speech, one of his most routine questions for guests was about their opinion of North Koreans rolling around on the ground shrieking and wailing to hear about the death of Kim Jong Il, late father of the current supreme leader and son of North Korea's founding father.
He asks if they are really grieving or if it is just a performance, a roundabout way of asking 'does propaganda work?' and specifically 'does propaganda convince its targets?' and the consensus that appears to be being reached by scholars who look at this and Nazi Germany and Stalinist Russia and Maoist China etc. is that the key ingredient to propaganda is state violence.
It is power exercised to coax a performance out of everyone. But it is not in itself persuasive, there's generally a whole bunch of other psychological factors that are much more important that mostly revolve around making people afraid to say anything different.
I think this is bad, this is a bad way to live. If it isn't clear, I think the Trump administration's strategic vision is bad. It is a terrible strategy that I feel is being proven, day by day, to be one of the most egregious wastes of everyone's time and energy in the history of humanity.
Alas, back to Timothy Snyder, if there are no facts then there can be no resistance. Most of my friends moved into cultural cul de sacs that I feel categorize the futile resistance of the left that endured as the dominant storytelling voice for around 10 years.
It was basically "We can all agree, that the audience of an Ani Di Franco concert, isn't going to start wars, bully kids, oppress minorities etc. etc. the whole world should just be an Ani Di Franco concert." Speaking as a fan of Ani Di Franco, I don't want the whole world to be an Ani Di Franco concert. I can see why a political movement based on the whole world being a Metallica concert, would be more popular. I can also see that both utopian visions are equally the stuff of pure fantasy, a complete waste of time to implore everyone, literally everyone to just commit wholly to listening to only one catalogue of music forever.
Monopolies and tyrannies are fundamentally unstable by nature, and the complete absence of competition makes this counterintuitive, because competition is seen and felt as a stressor, but its the stressors that help us identify failures constantly so we don't wind up with something structurally unsound.
Resistance has failed because it has framed the conflict in terms of who can seize the power to tell stories, and the answer is nobody. But it resulted in people seizing the power to effect real consequence in the world, because so many people forgot about that while escalating fiction to central importance.
There is a form of effective resistance, and Abe is attributed with pointing it out - stop pretending that whether a leg counts as a tail is a matter worthy of time and energy.
